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Post by landscaper on Dec 7, 2020 23:40:17 GMT -6
Watch out in the morning, there could be some patchy freezing fog in spots mainly on bridges or over passes
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 7, 2020 23:57:25 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 8, 2020 0:31:32 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 8, 2020 6:03:43 GMT -6
A southward trend has definitely been common so far this early season with the models...they've had a tendency to overdevelop the lead wave and not pick up on the trailing, digging energy until about this range or a little after.
The trend over the next several runs will be telling.
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141 
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Dec 8, 2020 7:56:13 GMT -6
Chris, please check your PMs  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 8, 2020 9:41:55 GMT -6
Dang ol' ICON sure is teasing that secondary southern low Sunday night.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 8, 2020 10:04:41 GMT -6
GFS throwing some hope in there now too with more precip in the cold sector and temps aloft cold enough for snow...still a bit warm at the surface though. Good trends so far.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 8, 2020 10:28:55 GMT -6
GFS throwing some hope in there now too with more precip in the cold sector and temps aloft cold enough for snow...still a bit warm at the surface though. Good trends so far. Deformation zone just goes poof unfortunately. Need it since the cold air is lacking on the front end |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 8, 2020 10:46:38 GMT -6
GEM is a swing and a miss unfortunately. Lots of energy coming out of the south though, should be some potential here as we head into the holidays.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2020 11:01:48 GMT -6
GEFS doesn't give much hope this far south. Really need some secondary energy behind the first wave to spin up some precipitation
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 8, 2020 11:04:26 GMT -6
I suppose when the GEM misses us we could start calling it the Tyler O'Neill, eh?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 8, 2020 11:13:49 GMT -6
12z ukmet is an Iowa mauler.
Sucks
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 8, 2020 11:56:29 GMT -6
My bro in law is heading back to CO to miss the Denver snow! Getting back before it hits
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 8, 2020 12:06:29 GMT -6
I am more interested in how the weekend system sets the table for later next week.
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Post by landscaper on Dec 8, 2020 12:07:01 GMT -6
We all know what that means the Euro will be close to it
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2020 12:51:54 GMT -6
Euro has a lot of trailing energy after the weekend system that brings a snowstorm to Nashville and a strip of snow across the central US
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 8, 2020 13:30:50 GMT -6
Euro has a lot of trailing energy after the weekend system that brings a snowstorm to Nashville and a strip of snow across the central US Amazing how the mid-level system completely shears out overhead, only to rapidly re-develop within 6-12hrs well off to the S/SE. I'm not writing off this first system until models completely loose the secondary energy digging in. But this pattern is starting to give me a headache...the tendency for these waves to shear out seems all too familiar. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 8, 2020 13:47:07 GMT -6
Ya this sheared out mess is disgusting!!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 8, 2020 14:40:16 GMT -6
 Euro ensemble member 31 seems to have it figured out |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 8, 2020 14:56:29 GMT -6
Euro ensemble member 31 seems to have it figured out god bless it... |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2020 15:10:48 GMT -6
18z NAM is interesting
To bad it’s the NAM at 84hrs
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Post by mchafin on Dec 8, 2020 15:23:47 GMT -6
"Too Bad it's the NAM at 84hrs" Should be on a T-shirt somewhere.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 8, 2020 15:26:20 GMT -6
18z NAM is interesting To bad it’s the NAM at 84hrs Definitely holding back a substantial amount of energy...that's what we need. The upper flow orientation looks quite a bit different than previous runs...let's see how it trends. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 8, 2020 15:31:52 GMT -6
"Too Bad it's the NAM at 84hrs" Should be on a T-shirt somewhere. Or "Two more weeks" |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 8, 2020 18:25:40 GMT -6
Analogs doing us no favors. Cmoooon 00z. Give us the goods!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 8, 2020 18:32:09 GMT -6
my thinking is this will end up bringing snow across the upper midwest, leaving us with a brief mix before ending, but i think this will set us up for better odds of snow the following week. as chris stated, there shld be interest in how this pattern evolves in setting the table for the following week.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 8, 2020 18:34:41 GMT -6
Meh its not gonna snow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 8, 2020 18:34:45 GMT -6
18z Euro sure is holding back a lot of energy in the four corners region at the end of its run  |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 8, 2020 19:16:12 GMT -6
That’s a nice look
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 8, 2020 19:38:34 GMT -6
iF it snows it'll be next week..not this weekend. And next week is highly questionable, like usual. I certainly wouldn't get any hopes up at all. Everyone enjoy spring the next 2 days, then the rain. Yay, December.
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