iceman
Wishcaster
Arnold, MO
Posts: 104 
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Post by iceman on Dec 31, 2020 17:31:56 GMT -6
HRRR looks to have some heavy precip come through around daybreak tomorrow. Temps showing to be around 32 still.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 31, 2020 17:41:11 GMT -6
Precip is blossoming to the N in Southern MO. It's around 25 mi north of the AR/MO border w/ the front northern edge just past West Plains. 3-4 hrs to go, I can smell the moisture from south on the air now.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 31, 2020 18:01:07 GMT -6
My ground temp here is 29. Guess we will see what happens. I'm surprised my weather radio didn't go off here in Troy, MO? I'm under a Winter Storm Warning. I cant remember if they send out an alert for that or not.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 31, 2020 18:10:10 GMT -6
Sitting at 30.1 here in Arnold. Hrrr has precep beginning in the metro about 10pm
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iceman
Wishcaster
Arnold, MO
Posts: 104
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Post by iceman on Dec 31, 2020 18:17:00 GMT -6
Sitting at 30.1 here in Arnold. Hrrr has precep beginning in the metro about 10pm Looking at radar it seems like it might show up well before 10
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 31, 2020 18:22:49 GMT -6
30*, dp is 28* rh is 92%, over here where nobody lives.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 31, 2020 18:27:33 GMT -6
Sitting at 30.1 here in Arnold. Hrrr has precep beginning in the metro about 10pm Looking at radar it seems like it might show up well before 10
Dry air aloft will eat into the precipitation initially |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 31, 2020 18:43:57 GMT -6
I’m out salting there’s a pretty stiff north east wind
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 31, 2020 19:06:21 GMT -6
18 z euro looks pretty ugly west of the river
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 31, 2020 19:16:09 GMT -6
18 z euro looks pretty ugly west of the river Ouch. That would be a hard hit for a lot of folks. Temps show below freezing through 14z. |
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Post by toddatfarmington on Dec 31, 2020 19:22:41 GMT -6
I should know pretty soon if this first band is producing precip at ground level or not
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 31, 2020 19:22:52 GMT -6
Looking at observations and wondering if areas northwest of the metro may have some power issues later on. Temps currently in the 27-29F range from Columbia up to Hannibal. Then models showing strong wind gusts towards morning after several hours of freezing rain and temps struggling to make it above freezing.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 31, 2020 19:28:03 GMT -6
Man the 00z HRRR blast Colombia with .75" of ice and that's using the FRAM output. I'd say power outages there are likely  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 31, 2020 19:55:19 GMT -6
what the hell is the NAM doing? At 6am has stl at 32..Colombia at 33. Little wedge of colder air right over the metro. Weird.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 31, 2020 19:58:41 GMT -6
what the hell is the NAM doing? At 6am has stl at 32..Colombia at 33. Little wedge of colder air right over the metro. Weird. Somehow it erodes the low level cold air over central Mo quicker than in eastern Mo
Well it is the NAM after all
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Post by amstilost on Dec 31, 2020 19:58:53 GMT -6
Looks like the Farmington Ice Skating Rink web cam has IP/FRZ falling. Any ground confirm??
Edit: I don't notice raindrop indications on the sidewalk or blacktop.
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Post by cnagel3 - Festus on Dec 31, 2020 20:15:54 GMT -6
Must have been a “spritz” in Farmington. Don’t see anything on camera now, though there are two mPING reports of freezing rain.
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Post by snowday_lover on Dec 31, 2020 20:29:52 GMT -6
I’ve had a little bit of freezing rain/sleet here in Ironton. It’s enough to put a light coating on my deck.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 31, 2020 20:30:44 GMT -6
Sure is an expansion/increase in stronger radar returns east of Lebanon and just coming into Fort Leonard Wood according to Nexrad radar from rap.ucar site. Doesn't have Composite or Dual-Pol though.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 31, 2020 20:32:18 GMT -6
Celebrating at home as well. Normally we might be at my son's house, celebrating his 33rd birthday. Not tonight. His wife is due any day now with their third son. He wants to be ready at a moment's notice so no big party tonight.
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Post by amstilost on Dec 31, 2020 20:34:34 GMT -6
Falling again on Farmington web cam and by looks of radar should continue to increase in intensity. Let the now casting- begin.  Temp 30* 7 miles west of De Soto. Happy New Year everyone. If you venture out be safe. |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 31, 2020 20:36:31 GMT -6
I just finished salting and I can confirm puddles and wet pavement from yesterday is already freezing on lots . It’s 28 in wentzville and about 29 in chesterfield. With 24-25 degree dew points temps will drop a little once precipitation starts it’s going to get pretty icy .
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Post by landscaper on Dec 31, 2020 20:40:41 GMT -6
I have not looked at any models in several hours is everything still on track
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 31, 2020 20:44:50 GMT -6
Probably just run to run noise but the 01z HRRR pushed the 0.5” ice totals into the metro
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Dec 31, 2020 20:47:32 GMT -6
Probably just run to run noise but the 01z HRRR pushed the 0.5” ice totals into the metro 0Z NAM shows .5-.6 in metro area also |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 31, 2020 20:52:55 GMT -6
I think the models are picking up on the temps and dew points . That and that north east wind are going to be our friend for once
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Dec 31, 2020 20:59:42 GMT -6
Just looking at the over cooked short term models, I guess we are on step something of this place...comparing to 2006....I actually wasn't in St. Louis, so how much ice did the area get during that storm?
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Post by dschreib on Dec 31, 2020 21:01:16 GMT -6
OT warning for some shameless bragging on a family member. This is our niece. We sat through numerous squeaky performances of Twinkle Twinkle Little Star when she was little, but the end result is really quite impressive. It's a couple years old, and if you aren't into the classical stuff, just slide it forward to about 2:25 or so.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 31, 2020 21:02:28 GMT -6
We're not bringing 2006 into this, There is no comparison. Zero.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Dec 31, 2020 21:04:49 GMT -6
We're not bringing 2006 into this, There is no comparison. Zero. i know that is a fact, just have no numeric comparison personally. |
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