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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 29, 2020 6:20:59 GMT -6
Yep next week system has officially cloaked... Will it come back? Most likely no. In fact models say no snow for you through December or hardly anything for that matter. December does indeed look very dry. Understandable as November especially early to mid month was quite wet. Thinks may pick up again after the holidays.
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 29, 2020 7:28:46 GMT -6
Yep next week system has officially cloaked... Will it come back? Most likely no. In fact models say no snow for you through December or hardly anything for that matter. December does indeed look very dry. Understandable as November especially early to mid month was quite wet. Thinks may pick up again after the holidays. Snow will be flying for the immediate metro east into your neck of the woods tonight into early tomorrow I think. It won't be much, but we will see snow. As for the mid week system, it always looked odd. Also, I'm confident we will see more chances for snow before the Holidays. Possibly a clipper in this troughy NW flow. There's no reason to write off our snow chances in Dec when it's Nov 28th. |
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 29, 2020 8:45:07 GMT -6
12z and 13z HRRR isn't too jazzed about tonight for snow, but still think the immediate metro east will see some snow fly. 12z HRRR says Mississippi River Enchancement snow will be possible tomorrow after afternoon especially on the eastern side of the metro. Yay
Meanwhile 12z NAM has the frontogenesis band this evening...almost parallel to I-44, but a more south/north axis than I-44 through the immediate metro east. I'd like for dewpoints to be lower though to cool the column quicker when the cloud deck lowers and when precip does break out.
I haven't looked at wet bulb temperatures so maybe we are in better shape.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 29, 2020 9:58:02 GMT -6
For those keeping score at home, that’s GFS-2, Euro-0 so far.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 29, 2020 9:58:23 GMT -6
gfs has midweek system back..cool rain.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 29, 2020 10:03:48 GMT -6
Euro ensembles are really far west with the mid-week system, favoring central Kansas for most snowfall
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 29, 2020 10:06:46 GMT -6
Euro ensembles are really far west with the mid-week system, favoring central Kansas for most snowfall Nice, lets meet in the middle...central and east central MO. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 29, 2020 10:24:48 GMT -6
Euro ensembles are really far west with the mid-week system, favoring central Kansas for most snowfall Nice, lets meet in the middle...central and east central MO. Euro seems to be out on its own with this one right now. GFS/GEFS are much further east and last nights Ukie and this morning GEM are east as well |
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 29, 2020 10:33:02 GMT -6
Nice, lets meet in the middle...central and east central MO. Euro seems to be out on its own with this one right now. GFS/GEFS are much further east and last nights Ukie and this morning GEM are east as well Good to know. Yeah I'm not too jazzed about this storm, but still fun to track something at least. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 29, 2020 14:50:39 GMT -6
NAM has the mid week system. Some heavy snow falling in SW Mo at the end of its run
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 29, 2020 16:11:58 GMT -6
Man I'm so craving a Winter storm! Please let us get a good one in Dec!!!
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 29, 2020 16:36:24 GMT -6
Lots of verga out there this evening.  |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 17:07:58 GMT -6
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Post by WeatherGuyRyan on Nov 29, 2020 18:31:25 GMT -6
Not to sound crazy but I swear we have snow flurries here in Shrewsbury right now. It’s 45 outside but I definitely recorded flurries.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 29, 2020 18:39:36 GMT -6
Not to sound crazy but I swear we have snow flurries here in Shrewsbury right now. It’s 45 outside but I definitely recorded flurries. There was some sleet around Cape G. today with temps in that range if not higher. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 18:40:25 GMT -6
Not to sound crazy but I swear we have snow flurries here in Shrewsbury right now. It’s 45 outside but I definitely recorded flurries. Wouldn't be surprised. Nice little frontogentic band has developed. Probably an extremely shallow layer of warm air at the surface. This is a big punch of cold air aloft. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 29, 2020 19:11:29 GMT -6
Yep snow flakes mixed in the rain here as well
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 19:13:45 GMT -6
i.imgur.com/KzMTXHJ.pngThat is going to be one hell of a band of snow to be under tomorrow. Looks like the TSSN potential is high with bubbles of CAPE streaming off of lake michigan.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 29, 2020 19:17:16 GMT -6
Yep snow flakes mixed in the rain here as well I’ve experienced the efficiency of Rocky Mountain snows, but never a lake effect snowband. I’d love to experience that at least once. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 29, 2020 19:40:59 GMT -6
absolutely bonkers. having to float until you sink would probably be one of the worst ways to go out.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 30, 2020 0:04:15 GMT -6
HRRR sniffing out a burst of flurries/snow showers between 5AM and 8AM with a break followed by more flurries in the afternoon especially east and south of the metro.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 30, 2020 6:35:45 GMT -6
First official flurries of the season!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 30, 2020 6:53:49 GMT -6
SNSH in Brighton...some fluffy dendrites mixed in. Sure looks nice...welcome, winter!
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Post by pbc12871 on Nov 30, 2020 6:54:59 GMT -6
First flakes of the season in Ballwin!
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 30, 2020 7:30:39 GMT -6
Seeing a few flakes in Festus! Not as many as the northern people are getting!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 30, 2020 7:44:33 GMT -6
Actual snow shower here.....enough to put a very light dusting on the car windshield
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 30, 2020 7:53:06 GMT -6
Had a brief burst of snow about 730. Enough to put a dusting on the deck  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 30, 2020 8:04:46 GMT -6
saw 8 flakes when I took the dog out.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 30, 2020 8:07:12 GMT -6
i had just enough to see a but of dusting on my roof, at the seams of my shingles. what amazes me are ppl in social media referencing 2020 as though this is unusual. kind of ranks up there with "we dodged a bullet"
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 30, 2020 8:12:17 GMT -6
Had a burst of moderate snow here in Northern Wildwood.
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