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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 28, 2021 8:16:09 GMT -6
Feel like I just plowed the north 40. The moles have taken over sections of the front and back yard. Between the heat, humidity and "plowing" I am absolutely whooped. Enjoy your day. The Moles have been absolutely insane this Summer. Whole Neighborhood is infested with at least a couple in almost every yard. Ridiculous! Having that problem here as well. |
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Jul 28, 2021 9:39:51 GMT -6
Same here with the mole problem. Managed to get two of them within the last three weeks but I cant get to the third one and figure more are on the way. Destructive little critters.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 28, 2021 10:10:25 GMT -6
Couple of things of interest Thursday evening as far as storms. The amount of DCAPE the models show- the NAM having 1900J/KG+ with the initial mid level dry air, then PWs pooling to well over 2" along the front. Storms look to be scattered but looks like a good set up for some severe wind.
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Post by jmg378s on Jul 28, 2021 10:18:41 GMT -6
Concerning tomorrow... Area soundings from this morning were already measuring 850mb temps in the 20-22C range and essentially all models are indicating that thermal ridge warms to 24C. Typically in the summer with southwest or westerly winds and dry conditions that would just about guarantee 100+. But conditions have been wet recently and possiblity of winds veering a bit more with the approaching front and dewpoint pooling may throttle max temp a bit.
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Post by jmg378s on Jul 28, 2021 10:23:46 GMT -6
Couple of things of interest Thursday evening as far as storms. The amount of DCAPE the models show- the NAM having 1900J/KG+ with the initial mid level dry air, then PWs pooling to well over 2" along the front. Storms look to be scattered but looks like a good set up for some severe wind. Yeah HRRR and NAM3k trying to get storms going later in the evening tomorrow with the NAM more aggressive and SPC highlighting northern half of area with marginal risk. |
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Post by dschreib on Jul 28, 2021 12:07:15 GMT -6
Same here with the mole problem. Managed to get two of them within the last three weeks but I cant get to the third one and figure more are on the way. Destructive little critters.
Same. I've gotten 3 of them this year, but the third one was tough; and I haven't been able to track down the one running around now. I don't get too worked up about it if they stay out in the 3 acres of "whatever grows". When they get in the acre that I actually planted in grass, that's when I get all Carl Spackler on 'em.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jul 28, 2021 12:45:01 GMT -6
Potentially a bad set-up today in WI for Oshkosh AirVenture 2021, with over 50K people and over 8K aircraft spread out on the grounds at EAA.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 28, 2021 12:54:24 GMT -6
Potentially a bad set-up today in WI for Oshkosh AirVenture 2021, with over 50K people and over 8K aircraft spread out on the grounds at EAA. I was just looking at the outlook and never paid attention to how the moderate risk just stops on the shore of lake michigan. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 28, 2021 19:14:08 GMT -6
The NMB forecast was 97F. The high ended up being 95F.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 28, 2021 19:19:37 GMT -6
Global cooling
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 28, 2021 19:29:16 GMT -6
PDS T-storm watch in effect up north for the developing derecho. Not a good situation at all for the Oshkosh show...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 28, 2021 19:30:06 GMT -6
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 28, 2021 19:32:44 GMT -6
Im thinking 94 to 96 tomorrow, the smoke is just too thick to get us much hotter than that
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 28, 2021 19:36:03 GMT -6
Sounding is almost falling over with that amount of CAPE |
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 28, 2021 19:36:28 GMT -6
I’ll go 99 tomorrow
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 28, 2021 19:59:23 GMT -6
I'll go with hot and muggy with 0% chance of snow Thursday.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 28, 2021 20:40:06 GMT -6
NAM has temps near 60 with heavy rain mid afternoon Saturday
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 28, 2021 21:08:33 GMT -6
lol, nam
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 28, 2021 21:13:29 GMT -6
NAM has temps near 60 with heavy rain mid afternoon Saturday I dunno about 60* but models have been hinting at a backbuilding line of storms developing NW to SE across the area, favoring the N half to 2/3rds. Could see some heavy rainfall. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 28, 2021 21:17:59 GMT -6
I did look it up about a year ago and my impression was smoke densities like there was today have been shown to suppress temperatures by 1-2F. I'm unsure whether the NBM contains smoke aerosol inputs. The NBM shows 100F tomorrow but given the +2F bias today we might be tempted to knock off 2F for tomorrow. But...smoke densities will wane beginning tomorrow morning. I think I'll toss my hat into the 99F camp too.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jul 29, 2021 1:58:19 GMT -6
8.2 earthquake off the coast of Alaska.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 29, 2021 5:17:11 GMT -6
Report of only one small tornado touchdown in Wisconsin last night west of Milwaukee. Unknown damage or injury
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 29, 2021 6:20:59 GMT -6
My god, the humidity is just awful. You know it's gonna be a steamer when it's almost 80* at sunrise with thick ground fog.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 29, 2021 8:56:26 GMT -6
Yes it is gross this morning. Ready for some heavy rain
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Post by jeepers on Jul 29, 2021 9:21:52 GMT -6
Woke up to some windows with massive condensation. Always a signal that it's ugly outside. Not fit for man nor beast.
Currently 87 degrees, RH 81%
Bleeeeeh.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 29, 2021 10:24:25 GMT -6
11am, Lambert was 93, dT 76..HI 106
gross
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Post by jmg378s on Jul 29, 2021 11:34:40 GMT -6
Several stations across IA and IL are reporting dewpoints above 80. A lot of upper 70s in MO.
Belleville currently reporting dewpoint of 84 with a heat index of 119. Not sure if that Td reading is correct or not, but damn...
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ilnois
Wishcaster
Columbia, IL
Posts: 123
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Post by ilnois on Jul 29, 2021 12:10:40 GMT -6
Several stations across IA and IL are reporting dewpoints above 80. A lot of upper 70s in MO. Belleville currently reporting dewpoint of 84 with a heat index of 119. Not sure if that Td reading is correct or not, but damn... In Columbia, IL - I'm at 92 degrees with a dewpoint of 80. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jul 29, 2021 13:41:02 GMT -6
Looks like any actual ambient 100*F degree plus readings won't happen thanks to convective debris clouds, but as mentioned the DP and humidity more than make up for it with 105-120 HI values. Would quantify it as Excessive Heat Warning Criteria for heat index severity if nothing else even though it's just a day. Tonight into Lunchtime tomorrow could be interesting depending on how organized convection gets north and west and how it propagates into the region this evening. Some models not showing much of anything but others are giving us a decent soak especially Saturday morning into mid-day with a break before more storms might fire Saturday evening into overnight especially along and south of I-70/I-64 (MO/IL). Kinda of miss from an interesting extreme weather perspective miss the half nation covering Excessive Heat Warnings then to have a dose of hoodie weather front (Strong early season cold front) just sweep it away north to south. Getting it now but with mostly advisories with some embedded Warnings. Some models on Saturday barely have us passing 70 for a high. Likely over done on the cool but would be impressive. Would likely be a 'balmy 70' rather than a refreshing 70 like in October or even later September.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 29, 2021 14:04:39 GMT -6
Looks like storms are struggling to develop across MO...I would imagine mid-level temps are pretty toasty putting a lid on things for now.
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