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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 6, 2022 12:18:16 GMT -6
You did great with the forecast, Chris. Your unwavering message is usually ahead of the rest.
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Jan 6, 2022 12:24:01 GMT -6
When it was all said and done, the models did do a fairly decent job of keeping the storm south of I-70. Even if we didn't get to see the winter weather we may have hoped for in some of our areas of interest, it is somewhat helpful to know that it wasn't a swing and a miss by the models. On to the next weather event.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2022 12:27:08 GMT -6
Chris - great explanation on the DAM on TV today. However, I have some questions about the beast, for anyone really:
1) why does DAM factor into the equation so many times around here?
2) I’d think areas up north would be impacted more, but they seem to be able to get decent snows without having to worry about it.
I understand the science is complicated and geography plays into it. But it sure does seem like we deal with the DAM quite a bit.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 6, 2022 12:32:00 GMT -6
PV at the end of the 12Z GFS around the 20th-23rd is definitely something. Not just bitter or frigid, but ungodly, pipebursting cold. One run, almost certainly overdone but good to see my MLK day into Valentine's Day peak/highlight of Winter time frame poking in from time to time in the extended ranges.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 6, 2022 12:49:05 GMT -6
PV at the end of the 12Z GFS around the 20th-23rd is definitely something. Not just bitter or frigid, but ungodly, pipebursting cold. One run, almost certainly overdone but good to see my MLK day into Valentine's Day peak/highlight of Winter time frame poking in from time to time in the extended ranges. You mean…there’s a chance? In about 2 weeks? |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 6, 2022 12:59:40 GMT -6
Yeah 15 degrees would be nice, not minus 15. Thats is for sure overdone
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 6, 2022 13:01:29 GMT -6
Maybe there is a chance of something in the Day 9-10 timeframe, maybe. Lots of southern energy being thrown around, though the Euro is lacking in the cold air department which is always a concern. Man, I sure miss the big ol' southern lows that would hit us with sleet and snow. Yes I said it, I miss SLEET. Though we did have a good bit of it last Feb I believe on the 10th before the 2 week ice age and big storm set in. Yep it was the 10th. These are always fun to look back on if you have some time to kill: www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKgfB42ZFXY |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 6, 2022 13:14:29 GMT -6
Yeah 15 degrees would be nice, not minus 15. Thats is for sure overdone I wouldn't be so sure. There's some serious cold air sloshing around in the ice box this year...get the right flow orientation across snow cover and look out. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 13:25:16 GMT -6
I had .2 inches of snow today… bringing my season total to .2 😆
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 6, 2022 13:39:00 GMT -6
My seasonal total so far is 0.T
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 6, 2022 14:24:31 GMT -6
I probably could have measured 0.2 if I had been home... but it was mostly blown away or sublimated by the time I got home.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 6, 2022 14:28:59 GMT -6
wicked stahm
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jan 6, 2022 15:17:56 GMT -6
Driving through Nashville this evening on the way to marathon Florida
So far roads to cape have been dry
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 6, 2022 15:40:32 GMT -6
Driving through Nashville this evening on the way to marathon Florida So far roads to cape have been dry Been some big pile ups in Kentucky today, mainly in norther part of the state, but I would still be sure to watch some type of live traffic monitoring application to stay ahead of any potential parking lot. I personally use Waze when I travel. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 16:32:49 GMT -6
Driving through Nashville this evening on the way to marathon Florida So far roads to cape have been dry We have some friends that came through Nashville earlier today and they said they sat still in traffic for an hour before being detoured because the road was closed …. 8 hour trip was taking 13 hours…… |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 6, 2022 16:54:13 GMT -6
Driving through Nashville this evening on the way to marathon Florida So far roads to cape have been dry We have some friends that came through Nashville earlier today and they said they sat still in traffic for an hour before being detoured because the road was closed …. 8 hour trip was taking 13 hours…… Doesn’t sound all that different from all my experiences traveling through Nashville traffic lol. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 16:59:27 GMT -6
We have some friends that came through Nashville earlier today and they said they sat still in traffic for an hour before being detoured because the road was closed …. 8 hour trip was taking 13 hours…… Doesn’t sound all that different from all my experiences traveling through Nashville traffic lol. You are so right ! I have been driving through Nashville for 30+ years and it used to nothing but the last 5 years I absolutely dread it |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 6, 2022 17:16:08 GMT -6
Just drive through Memphis instead...bring a gun.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 6, 2022 17:20:54 GMT -6
Doesn’t sound all that different from all my experiences traveling through Nashville traffic lol. You are so right ! I have been driving through Nashville for 30+ years and it used to nothing but the last 5 years I absolutely dread it Every summer that we head to Charleston SC now, we take the Opry loop around the north side of Nashville to go around it. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 17:26:25 GMT -6
You are so right ! I have been driving through Nashville for 30+ years and it used to nothing but the last 5 years I absolutely dread it Every summer that we head to Charleston SC now, we take the Opry loop around the north side of Nashville to go around it. Do you take 40 to Asheville and then 26 down to Charleston or do you go through Atlanta? |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 6, 2022 17:27:20 GMT -6
Atlanta is god awful with traffic, makes Nashville easy compared to Atlanta
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 6, 2022 17:32:24 GMT -6
Driving through Nashville this evening on the way to marathon Florida So far roads to cape have been dry Um, just fly. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 6, 2022 17:38:04 GMT -6
Every summer that we head to Charleston SC now, we take the Opry loop around the north side of Nashville to go around it. Do you take 40 to Asheville and then 26 down to Charleston or do you go through Atlanta? We took the Atlanta route one time, never again. Didn’t help that we hit ATL at 4 pm. Got a nice 3 hour long look at the skyline. For the record, we got exactly 1” today in Perryville. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 17:50:19 GMT -6
Do you take 40 to Asheville and then 26 down to Charleston or do you go through Atlanta? We took the Atlanta route one time, never again. Didn’t help that we hit ATL at 4 pm. Got a nice 3 hour long look at the skyline. For the record, we got exactly 1” today in Perryville. I was 16 living in South Carolina and I drove to Atlanta to see the 1985 Cardinals play , when I hit the 8 lanes of traffic there is no way to measure the panic that set in lol |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 6, 2022 18:22:53 GMT -6
Starting around the 15th or so the GEFS and especially EPS look favorable for an active and cold pattern east of the Rockies
Heres to hoping
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 6, 2022 18:33:09 GMT -6
This chunk of cold air we have tonight means business as well, with no snow on the ground in the metro we are making a strong run towards 0. I think 2 or 3 is the forescast in St.Peters. thats impressive to me coming off of a record warm december and having bare ground.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 6, 2022 18:36:48 GMT -6
Do you take 40 to Asheville and then 26 down to Charleston or do you go through Atlanta? We took the Atlanta route one time, never again. Didn’t help that we hit ATL at 4 pm. Got a nice 3 hour long look at the skyline. For the record, we got exactly 1” today in Perryville. That’s why we leave around 7-8 in the evening. Gets us to Nashville around midnight, depending on dinner, and Atlanta around 2-3 am, depending on frequency of stops. Helps avoid most of that nonsense. Now…rolling into sunny F L A after driving 17 hours on about 30 minutes of sleep is no bueno, but that’s what poolside naps are for. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 6, 2022 18:57:48 GMT -6
We took the Atlanta route one time, never again. Didn’t help that we hit ATL at 4 pm. Got a nice 3 hour long look at the skyline. For the record, we got exactly 1” today in Perryville. That’s why we leave around 7-8 in the evening. Gets us to Nashville around midnight, depending on dinner, and Atlanta around 2-3 am, depending on frequency of stops. Helps avoid most of that nonsense. Now…rolling into sunny F L A after driving 17 hours on about 30 minutes of sleep is no bueno, but that’s what poolside naps are for. Smart man, we have done that many times also |
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jan 6, 2022 19:39:58 GMT -6
So far the roads have been horrible 30 min on both sides of Nashville but good besides that
No jams just slow slow traffic
Bout 1 more hour of below freezing temps to drive in!
Only 16 more hours to the keys!!🏝🎣☀️🍹
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 6, 2022 20:41:30 GMT -6
The 00z NAM starts the freezing rain/drizzle with temps near 20* Saturday morning
The FRAM chart is spitting out some respectable ice amounts in the northern counties into central IL with amounts near 2/10"
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