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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 10:04:25 GMT -6
There is absolutely no way a storm tracking like that give us anything but rain in St.Louis. The weather models are drunk.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2022 10:16:39 GMT -6
Gfs brings several inches of snow. I don't believe it. Need all models ato show this the next couple days to do so. Just too odd for snow here. And I. A winter like this I just highly doubt it.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 10:28:36 GMT -6
So, now you have the 6z euro, the 12z Icon, and the 12z gfs lol.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 10:30:33 GMT -6
Gem is still a nice hit for Central and northern Illinois , I’ve never seen a storm track north east of us and we get anything other than rain
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 10:35:11 GMT -6
12z gfs ensembles are split into two camps (maybe 3). One camp hits STL and the other hits well northeast.
The possible 3rd camp is actually too far west lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 10:37:58 GMT -6
Looks the the GFS tracks the 850 low from Minneapolis, through central Illinois and down towards Atlanta
I can’t see how that would be a favorable track for snow here
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2022 10:52:11 GMT -6
Looks the the GFS tracks the 850 low from Minneapolis, through central Illinois and down towards Atlanta I can’t see how that would be a favorable track for snow here It's not. We definitely need to see a continued trend of the mid-level system digging further SW. Might be tough... |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 10:55:27 GMT -6
Looks the the GFS tracks the 850 low from Minneapolis, through central Illinois and down towards Atlanta I can’t see how that would be a favorable track for snow here It's not. We definitely need to see a continued trend of the mid-level system digging further SW. Might be tough... 12z ukmet looks great |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 10:55:51 GMT -6
Yes , another 150 - 200 mile southwest shift minimum to get snow down to the metro
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2022 10:58:03 GMT -6
It's not. We definitely need to see a continued trend of the mid-level system digging further SW. Might be tough... 12z ukmet looks great As good as some of these models look, I'm afraid this is a dead ringer for the classic NE trend with these wound up clippers. Hope I'm wrong. I'm sure it'll nail YBY though. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 11:10:20 GMT -6
Ya I have a hard time seeing a system tracking like this bringing any meaningful snow to the area. I guess there’s a first time for everything but snow seems to avoid STL like the plague recently
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 11:15:56 GMT -6
12z ukmet upper level features are west of the gfs and it’s just a better model.
I get being suspicious, but there is definitely potential.
Long range is definitely looking cold too. Things are looking up.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2022 11:21:11 GMT -6
Don't get your hopes up guys. Unless you're WSC. This is nothing here most likely.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 11:26:09 GMT -6
Agreed, this is just noise
Not going to happen, not even worth tracking.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2022 11:40:26 GMT -6
If we use past events, don't these clippers typically miss us to the NE like what BRTN was saying. With a low to the NE, we are on the warm side. There would have to be high precip rates, a lot of dynamic cooling to fight off the warm air and make this system snow if it doesn't miss us. This is going to have to dig a good deal to the SW. Since these clipper shortwaves move so quick, you would think there wouldn't be enough time for it dig to the SW more. Cold air supply looks good after this system, but temps look too warm/borderline. I guess crazier things could happen.
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2022 12:11:02 GMT -6
I'm sitting here waiting for the Euro to roll out hour by hour for the first time all season. Curious what false hope simulation it's going to come up with  . |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 12:25:13 GMT -6
Euro still slams the metro with wet snow. Not gonna happen.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 12:26:38 GMT -6
It did shift east as well, along and east of mississippi
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 12:54:53 GMT -6
It’s showing 1-3” Missouri side of the river out to about st Charles county and 3-5” on the Illinois side . The Gem is the northern side of models. Ukmet is southern, with the GFS and Euro fairly close to the same track.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 10, 2022 13:12:00 GMT -6
Euro still slams the metro with wet snow. Not gonna happen. You guys are funny. Nothing will make you happy. Even modeled snow. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 13:31:18 GMT -6
Ensembles seem to be in relatively good agreement with the most snow falling from Minnesota to Northern IL
Only 50 days until meteorological spring
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 10, 2022 13:31:48 GMT -6
Definitely cautious about the weekend setup. As others have mentioned, that is a very unusual track for us. Though I remember a we snow setup similar to that back in I believe 2007. Maybe 2008 but it was February. The track was almost straight north to south and temps were marginal. Forecast was up to an inch but most exceeded 4”. Not saying that’s going to happen, just throwing it out there.
Unfortunately covid found its way into my house starting last Thursday. Holy smokes was that a rough weekend. Feeling slightly better today but this thing is no joke. I don’t want to imagine what we would have felt like if we weren’t vaccinated.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 10, 2022 13:43:10 GMT -6
Definitely cautious about the weekend setup. As others have mentioned, that is a very unusual track for us. Though I remember a we snow setup similar to that back in I believe 2007. Maybe 2008 but it was February. The track was almost straight north to south and temps were marginal. Forecast was up to an inch but most exceeded 4”. Not saying that’s going to happen, just throwing it out there. Unfortunately covid found its way into my house starting last Thursday. Holy smokes was that a rough weekend. Feeling slightly better today but this thing is no joke. I don’t want to imagine what we would have felt like if we weren’t vaccinated. Glad you are feeling better! I’m anxious to see what the NWS does with the forecast with tonight’s update…. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 13:44:17 GMT -6
Woohoo in ready for spring. Winters are not fun anymore
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 13:50:47 GMT -6
Definitely cautious about the weekend setup. As others have mentioned, that is a very unusual track for us. Though I remember a we snow setup similar to that back in I believe 2007. Maybe 2008 but it was February. The track was almost straight north to south and temps were marginal. Forecast was up to an inch but most exceeded 4”. Not saying that’s going to happen, just throwing it out there. Unfortunately covid found its way into my house starting last Thursday. Holy smokes was that a rough weekend. Feeling slightly better today but this thing is no joke. I don’t want to imagine what we would have felt like if we weren’t vaccinated. COVID ran through our house last weekend. We’re all vaccinated and only 2/4 developed any symptoms which were pretty mild. Like you said, I hate think how it might of gone if we weren’t vaccinated |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2022 14:21:36 GMT -6
I got COVID last weekend and haven't been vaccinated...it really wasn't that bad except for 24-36hrs of achy joints and muscles and no energy. The worst part was not having taste or smell for a week.
I will say it was the worst I've felt in years because I almost never get sick. I guess that's saying something.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 10, 2022 14:30:19 GMT -6
I think symptoms/ experience have a lot to do with genetics. I’m vaccinated and boosted but also immunocompromised. I can’t risk getting it as the last virus I had turned into an infection and landed my butt in the ER. I workout 4 times a week, eat well, don’t drink, but viruses can kill me. So I’m hoping I’ll never get it. And looking forward to getting my next boost!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 10, 2022 14:38:45 GMT -6
Yea there has to be something with genetics and individual biology that just aren’t clear at this point. All I know is that I was pretty much unable to move due to the vomiting and extreme chills and body aches. By far the worst I’ve ever had. 33 years old, healthy other than being a bit overweight.
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Raja72
Weather Weenie
Waterloo, IL
Posts: 47 
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Post by Raja72 on Jan 10, 2022 14:52:11 GMT -6
Genetics definitely have something to with it. I had covid in November 2020 and ended up with pneumonia. They put me on steroids to fight the pneumonia. This spiked my blood sugar to over 600 and my triglycerides to over 20,000 (normal range is around 150 for me). I ended up in the ICU with kidneys shutting down and had necrotizing pancreatitis as result of the high triglycerides. Keep in mind that I was a 48 yr old relatively healthy female with no history of diabetes or pancreatic issues. Non smoker and social drinker. They had to feed me through A central line and spent over a month in the hospital. One of the worst experiences of my life. I left the hospital a diabetic and having to give myself insulin shots for about 2 months. I now take six medications, am still slowly nursing myself back to health (even over a year later!) but am very thankful to be here! So, a little slow weather while maddening, it could be worse. I don’t often post, but I can tell you that this weather blog was and is a lifeline to “normalcy” in my life. Thanks to all of you that post and keep me educated and entertained! Stay safe everyone and prayers for those dealing with covid right now.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 10, 2022 14:53:53 GMT -6
I've had it twice. November 2019 and Aug 2020. It sucked.
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