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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2022 15:05:41 GMT -6
I've had it twice. November 2019 and Aug 2020. It sucked. I'm pretty sure I got it Nov 19 as well. Whatever it was, the only way I can describe it is diarrhea of the sinuses. I literally thought I might drown in my own snot. It was really, really weird. That was the only symptoms too...maybe a very mildly irritated throat at the beginning. I really hope we can put this behind us soon. It seems like this current "surge" might be the last hurrah. These outbreaks usually span a couple years or so. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2022 15:12:39 GMT -6
Genetics definitely have something to with it. I had covid in November 2020 and ended up with pneumonia. They put me on steroids to fight the pneumonia. This spiked my blood sugar to over 600 and my triglycerides to over 20,000 (normal range is around 150 for me). I ended up in the ICU with kidneys shutting down and had necrotizing pancreatitis as result of the high triglycerides. Keep in mind that I was a 48 yr old relatively healthy female with no history of diabetes or pancreatic issues. Non smoker and social drinker. They had to feed me through A central line and spent over a month in the hospital. One of the worst experiences of my life. I left the hospital a diabetic and having to give myself insulin shots for about 2 months. I now take six medications, am still slowly nursing myself back to health (even over a year later!) but am very thankful to be here! So, a little slow weather while maddening, it could be worse. I don’t often post, but I can tell you that this weather blog was and is a lifeline to “normalcy” in my life. Thanks to all of you that post and keep me educated and entertained! Stay safe everyone and prayers for those dealing with covid right now. Good grief. Sorry to hear about your experience. Crazy how some people barely get symptoms and some get a full body slam. Coworker who sits right next to me in his mid-40s and no health conditions ended up in the ICU with oxygen level near 70...I think he was close to getting intubated. Two others my floor died and one still has not fully recovered sense of taste after nearly 1 year. Others barely sick at all. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 15:14:09 GMT -6
I've had it twice. November 2019 and Aug 2020. It sucked. I'm pretty sure I got it Nov 19 as well. Whatever it was, the only way I can describe it is diarrhea of the sinuses. I literally thought I might drown in my own snot. It was really, really weird. That was the only symptoms too...maybe a very mildly irritated throat at the beginning. I really hope we can put this behind us soon. It seems like this current "surge" might be the last hurrah. These outbreaks usually span a couple years or so. Right after Christmas 2019 I had something very similar. Easily the worst sinus infection of my life and sickest I’ve ever been. I remember not being able to breath out of my nose for a week straight. I’m not sure it was COVID because I never had any of the other classic COVID symptoms like loss of taste/smell or fever but it was one nasty bug. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 10, 2022 15:23:45 GMT -6
We’re both vaccinated but I’m terrified to get it. Overweight and smokers. Both of us. I don’t think we would handle it well.
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2022 15:43:40 GMT -6
As for the next system it is uncommon to get a closed low all the way up to 500mb from a clipper diving southeast through the area like the GFS/ECM. As it is I think the deterministic and ensemble modeling are pointing east of the river with better odds of accumulating snow. Still 5 days out so expect large changes and differences in models. But if we can somehow get a well developed system with an 850mb low to pass to our west I think we'd be in good shape. Probably a bit more room for a northeastern trend though at least from what I've seen of the GFS and CMC ensembles.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 10, 2022 15:45:00 GMT -6
Yea there has to be something with genetics and individual biology that just aren’t clear at this point. All I know is that I was pretty much unable to move due to the vomiting and extreme chills and body aches. By far the worst I’ve ever had. 33 years old, healthy other than being a bit overweight. Your blood type has a lot to do with how your body will react when catching COVID. Mortality rates significantly increase for those with blood type A. Blood types AB and B have found to develop symptoms however most non-severe. Type O has some sort of natural immunity to the symptoms of COVID. Most that catch it that are type O will be asymptomatic (but not all - Many other factors like pre-existing conditions/immunodeficiencies can spawn symptoms regardless). |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 10, 2022 15:57:36 GMT -6
Definitely cautious about the weekend setup. As others have mentioned, that is a very unusual track for us. Though I remember a we snow setup similar to that back in I believe 2007. Maybe 2008 but it was February. The track was almost straight north to south and temps were marginal. Forecast was up to an inch but most exceeded 4”. Not saying that’s going to happen, just throwing it out there. Unfortunately covid found its way into my house starting last Thursday. Holy smokes was that a rough weekend. Feeling slightly better today but this thing is no joke. I don’t want to imagine what we would have felt like if we weren’t vaccinated. That's exactly how we were! Hit us right after Thanksgiving. Thankfully we didn't attend any gatherings. Both vaccinated but we were over the 6 month protection period. About two weeks from getting our booster. I was like, REALLY?  DARN our luck. We haven't went anywhere in 2 yrs. If I had to go in somewhere I always wore a mask. Stayed away from folks. But that was rare. I ended up getting it from work. We wear masks at Toytota. But not in the break room. So that had to be where I picked it up. Its going around bad at my job now. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2022 15:58:35 GMT -6
As for the next system it is uncommon to get a closed low all the way up to 500mb from a clipper diving southeast through the area like the GFS/ECM. As it is I think the deterministic and ensemble modeling are pointing east of the river with better odds of accumulating snow. Still 5 days out so expect large changes and differences in models. But if we can somehow get a well developed system with an 850mb low to pass to our west I think we'd be in good shape. Probably a bit more room for a northeastern trend at least from what I've seen of the GFS and CMC ensembles. We need to hope that the upstream mid-level ridge stays amplified and allows the energy to get tucked further SW and remain closed. Otherwise, the downstream surface ridge axis position/orientation is pretty awful if you want snow in/near the Metro. It just doesn't seem like the cold air will be anchored enough to keep the NE trend away. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 10, 2022 16:05:11 GMT -6
.LONG TERM... (Friday through Next Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CST Mon Jan 10 2022
Medium range deterministic guidance is coming into better agreement
with the Friday night/Saturday storm system. The latest runs of the
GFS and ECMWF are actually very similar. Both show a strong short
wave moving onto the West Coast around 12Z on Thursday, and
across the Rockies into the northern Plains by 12Z Friday. There
are still differences in the strength and position with the lower
level features of this system, but the upper levels are very
similar. Additionally, the 1000-850mb and 1000-700mb thickness
values on both models are indicating that snow will be the primary
precipitation type and thermal profiles from GFS soundings agree.
However, ensemble guidance still shows a great deal of
variability. GEFS 500mb plot/standard deviation shows 80+dam
Friday night into Saturday as the base of the short wave digs into
the Mississippi Valley. GEFS 850mb temperatures range from about
0 to -2 from the first to the third quartile at the onset of
precipitation Friday night, but it does cool through Saturday to a
more favorable -4 to -7C by 18Z Saturday. I would like to see
agreement in more than one run of the deterministic models before
I increase PoPs at this point, so we will stick with chance for
this forecast. Another short wave dives into the Midwest at the
very end of the forecast Sunday into Monday, but this one appears
to be moisture starved on the latest model runs so Sunday and
Monday look dry.
So your saying there is a chance…..
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 16:13:02 GMT -6
Gfs holding strong for few inches. Crazy
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2022 16:26:15 GMT -6
Luckily no Covid as of yet. I help care for my mom who hasn't been in good health for several years now, If she got it, it wouldn't be good. Vaxxed and boosted.
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Post by REB on Jan 10, 2022 16:43:19 GMT -6
Genetics definitely have something to with it. I had covid in November 2020 and ended up with pneumonia. They put me on steroids to fight the pneumonia. This spiked my blood sugar to over 600 and my triglycerides to over 20,000 (normal range is around 150 for me). I ended up in the ICU with kidneys shutting down and had necrotizing pancreatitis as result of the high triglycerides. Keep in mind that I was a 48 yr old relatively healthy female with no history of diabetes or pancreatic issues. Non smoker and social drinker. They had to feed me through A central line and spent over a month in the hospital. One of the worst experiences of my life. I left the hospital a diabetic and having to give myself insulin shots for about 2 months. I now take six medications, am still slowly nursing myself back to health (even over a year later!) but am very thankful to be here! So, a little slow weather while maddening, it could be worse. I don’t often post, but I can tell you that this weather blog was and is a lifeline to “normalcy” in my life. Thanks to all of you that post and keep me educated and entertained! Stay safe everyone and prayers for those dealing with covid right now. So thankful you are here. Covid is NOT something to mess with. I hope you are 100% as soon as possible. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2022 16:52:05 GMT -6
Icon much more realistic with no snow here and most in central il and Indiana
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 17:01:19 GMT -6
Icon jumped 500 miles from this morning, it’s not a consistent model this year at all
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Raja72
Weather Weenie
Waterloo, IL
Posts: 47 
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Post by Raja72 on Jan 10, 2022 17:02:57 GMT -6
Genetics definitely have something to with it. I had covid in November 2020 and ended up with pneumonia. They put me on steroids to fight the pneumonia. This spiked my blood sugar to over 600 and my triglycerides to over 20,000 (normal range is around 150 for me). I ended up in the ICU with kidneys shutting down and had necrotizing pancreatitis as result of the high triglycerides. Keep in mind that I was a 48 yr old relatively healthy female with no history of diabetes or pancreatic issues. Non smoker and social drinker. They had to feed me through A central line and spent over a month in the hospital. One of the worst experiences of my life. I left the hospital a diabetic and having to give myself insulin shots for about 2 months. I now take six medications, am still slowly nursing myself back to health (even over a year later!) but am very thankful to be here! So, a little slow weather while maddening, it could be worse. I don’t often post, but I can tell you that this weather blog was and is a lifeline to “normalcy” in my life. Thanks to all of you that post and keep me educated and entertained! Stay safe everyone and prayers for those dealing with covid right now. So thankful you are here. Covid is NOT something to mess with. I hope you are 100% as soon as possible. Thanks, REB! |
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Post by mchafin on Jan 10, 2022 17:05:50 GMT -6
Yea there has to be something with genetics and individual biology that just aren’t clear at this point. All I know is that I was pretty much unable to move due to the vomiting and extreme chills and body aches. By far the worst I’ve ever had. 33 years old, healthy other than being a bit overweight. Your blood type has a lot to do with how your body will react when catching COVID. Mortality rates significantly increase for those with blood type A. Blood types AB and B have found to develop symptoms however most non-severe. Type O has some sort of natural immunity to the symptoms of COVID. Most that catch it that are type O will be asymptomatic (but not all - Many other factors like pre-existing conditions/immunodeficiencies can spawn symptoms regardless). 3 of my sisters got it. All vaxed and Type O - symptoms were awful! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 18:22:49 GMT -6
18z Euro looks noticeably further W and weaker compared to the 12z at the same time
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 18:49:12 GMT -6
18z Euro looks noticeably further W and weaker compared to the 12z at the same time  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 10, 2022 18:53:03 GMT -6
Looking at the weekend system... the ICON solution actually makes the most sense. While not unheard of... the nearly north to south dive shown on the GFS and Euro seems unrealistic. Impossible... no. I can remember a couple that pulled that direct dive south... but they are rare birds. I think it's more likely that thing ends up more southeasterly and brings the snow to the Ohio Valley (Indy to Cincy). I also like that track since I will be in Cincy for the Xavier basketball game this weekend  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 19:11:34 GMT -6
18z Euro looks noticeably further W and weaker compared to the 12z at the same time Ensembles/control run do seem to reflect the change so it’s mildly interesting. Still far from sold lol |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 10, 2022 19:34:30 GMT -6
A not so pleasant stat to chew on this evening...
We have received 0.1 inches of snow this season to date.
More pleasant.... the latest first 1.0" of snow on record in St. Louis is April 5, 1971!
The last five seasons have been quite variable in regards to this statistic:
Winter 2020/21 First 1" fell 27 Jan 2021
Winter 2019/20 First 1" fell 11 Nov 2019
Winter 2018/20 First 1" fell 12 Nov 2018
Winter 2017/18 First 1" fell 23 Dec 2017
Winter 2016/17 First 1" fell 13 March 2017
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2022 19:38:17 GMT -6
I'm so excited for this weekend non event I could poop
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 19:44:40 GMT -6
Snowstorm, what does the 18z Euro show? And what are the Euro ensembles showing? The 18z GEFS look to far north by a decent amount though they have trended some south since yesterday.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2022 19:55:31 GMT -6
Snowstorm, what does the 18z Euro show? And what are the Euro ensembles showing? The 18z GEFS look to far north by a decent amount though they have trended some south since yesterday. The 18z euro operational run only goes out 90 hours so it’s still out of range in showing the system impacting the area. The control run goes out further and shows a sloppy 1-3” across the area. The ensembles seem to reflect the weaker and further west track the operational/control run are advertising. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 10, 2022 22:11:05 GMT -6
GFS is looking amazing so far
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 22:15:41 GMT -6
Yes it’s almost like some of the models are “merging “ two separate lows. The Euro and Gfs both have what looks to be a second southern low that the clipper transfers it’s energy over to. Maybe I’m wrong but when you dig into things it kind of looks like it. The icon has a traditional clipper look to it with a nice band of snow going through central Illinois to far north east for the metro areas. It will be interesting to see if the Ukmet and Euro keep there western path.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2022 22:17:15 GMT -6
The transferring of energy always works well around here
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2022 22:18:41 GMT -6
Yes your correct like last week worked out real for us
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2022 22:24:51 GMT -6
I’ll be amused when it ends up too far west for STL
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 10, 2022 22:26:39 GMT -6
I’ll be amused when it ends up too far west for STL It’s almost there now lol …… |
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DARN our luck. We haven't went anywhere in 2 yrs. If I had to go in somewhere I always wore a mask. Stayed away from folks. But that was rare. I ended up getting it from work. We wear masks at Toytota. But not in the break room. So that had to be where I picked it up. Its going around bad at my job now. 
