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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 11:08:57 GMT -6
I agree with Brtn, at 4 days out most models and ensembles are all fairly close. The last couple events the models didn’t change much at all with in the 3-4 day out period. I think we’ll end up with some snow just not sure how much
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 11, 2022 11:13:28 GMT -6
we will find a way to get missed. Trust me thats the biggest thing we can guarantee We get it dude. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 11, 2022 11:14:57 GMT -6
Did anyone else notice the donut hole…15 miles west and Marissa is right in it lol
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:17:03 GMT -6
Lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 11, 2022 11:17:06 GMT -6
I agree with Brtn, at 4 days out most models and ensembles are all fairly close. The last couple events the models didn’t change much at all with in the 3-4 day out period. I think we’ll end up with some snow just not sure how much At this range, I'd much rather be sitting on the cold/eastern edge of the envelope than the warm/western edge. I think trends are nothing but encouraging so far with the 00z runs and the 12z ones trickling in. |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 11:21:00 GMT -6
Yes, one thing you can see on several models is the storm is strong in Iowa and looses strength over us only to reorganize a d go crazy south east of us
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 11:23:29 GMT -6
I'll give 24 to 36 hours. If models continue to show what they have now, I'll get excited, at least some. For now I'm interested and cautiously optimistic.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 11:24:57 GMT -6
I guess the Canadians are drunk on maple syrup with the tardiness of the GEM of late.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 11, 2022 11:25:24 GMT -6
I'll give 24 to 36 hours. If models continue to show what they have now, I'll get excited, at least some. For now I'm interested and cautiously optimistic. But ajd is writing this off |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:25:38 GMT -6
I have very slight optimism, I want to see where we are sitting Friday Morning, by that point we should have a decent handle, yes I would rather be too far east than west, so cold air is not an issue for whatever snow we may get
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:26:34 GMT -6
Im not writing it off, but proceed with extreme caution
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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 11:30:03 GMT -6
By tomorrow it will be a widespread call for a winter storm watch …
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 11:30:43 GMT -6
Im not writing it off, but proceed with extreme caution But you said no snow the rest of the winter yesterday… So, shouldn’t you just check back in April and see if this place still exists? |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:32:22 GMT -6
Like you seriously think i met no snow all year sheesh. We all know it will snow some. Its just one of those thinks dont think we will get snow and it will snow, or plan for a ton and it will never snow
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 11, 2022 11:34:02 GMT -6
Yummy word salad.
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Post by REB on Jan 11, 2022 11:40:38 GMT -6
Like you seriously think i met no snow all year sheesh. We all know it will snow some. Its just one of those thinks dont think we will get snow and it will snow, or plan for a ton and it will never snow Perhaps you need to go back and read your posts. |
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 11, 2022 11:44:01 GMT -6
Ah, the corner doing corner things.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:44:19 GMT -6
I know what I posted. Im just meaning seriously i did not mean it. Its just everyone in here gets so excited for snow only to be crushed, so might as well move forward crushed and be pleasantly suprised when the snow happens. I love snow too but am tired of the dissapointment
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 11, 2022 11:47:24 GMT -6
If that 500mb vorticity closes off, somebody is going to get dumped on as it pivots through. I’m rooting for any outcome where this thing doesn’t get sheared apart. That is the worst to track a nice looking storm that just goes “poof.” Also, the rest of January looks solid with multiple stretched PV events possible. Fun times ahead. Long term is looking good. Cold enough to support snow mostly, but not cold enough to dry up/suppress everything. Even when the cold does retreat, at most it goes to I-80, but mostly I-74. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 11:49:43 GMT -6
If that 500mb vorticity closes off, somebody is going to get dumped on as it pivots through. I’m rooting for any outcome where this thing doesn’t get sheared apart. That is the worst to track a nice looking storm that just goes “poof.” Also, the rest of January looks solid with multiple stretched PV events possible. Fun times ahead. Long term is looking good. Cold enough to support snow mostly, but not cold enough to dry up/suppress everything. Even when the cold does retreat, at most it goes to I-80, but mostly I-74. My heating bill is going to be a nightmare. It feels like it has been 0 degrees every night for 2 weeks up here. Don’t need the PV to get too close. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 11, 2022 11:52:01 GMT -6
Maybe it's time to slow down on the hyperbole posts and step away from the keyboard if you really don't have anything constructive to add.
If you keep getting the board riled up for no reason, you'll be on the short list for the banhammer. You certainly wouldn't be the first.
Pro tip: saying you're sorry and then doing the same thing again a few days or a week later isn't going to cut it. You need to chill out or get lost, because you're starting to see very trollish at this point.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 11:55:26 GMT -6
Ok Ill lay off. I just get so PO'd when the gosh darn storms never hit us so it is very easy to just say screw it.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 12:02:46 GMT -6
The 12z NBM looked pretty good with 3-4” right down the Mississippi
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 12:16:45 GMT -6
The 12z NBM looked pretty good with 3-4” right down the Mississippi How much for union. Lol |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 12:23:35 GMT -6
Euro getting pretty far west. Really see the weakining of the 850..then re intensifying to the south. 500 way west. Weird.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 12:25:03 GMT -6
The 12z NBM looked pretty good with 3-4” right down the Mississippi How much for union. Lol None  About 3” looking at Pivotal |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 12:27:35 GMT -6
Euro getting pretty far west. Really the weakining of the 850..the re intensifying to the south. 500way west. Weird. It dives so far south it actually would have time to pull back north and phase with the next wave. Crazy looking And it turns into a bomb off the coast of PA, no surprise there. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 11, 2022 12:39:39 GMT -6
The 12z GEM seems like a good compromise. Tracks the mid-level system across W/central MO but has a nice hit of WAA along the river and even hints at some banding potential within that due to speed/directional convergence. The eventual pivot is intriguing but too far S to be of interest to us so far.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 12:39:44 GMT -6
One more west shift and we’re out of the game
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 11, 2022 12:49:39 GMT -6
What kind of setup is this? The storm for Friday looks so weird coming from the northwest like that only to put on the breaks and pivot and turn into a wrapped up system?
You just don't see that very often. I may never have seen that. It's like an clipper morphs into a southern low! Haha
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