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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 19, 2022 12:56:58 GMT -6
Happy Father's Day to all the dads in our crew! We are long past time for a new thread.... so this felt like a good day. The upper level pattern for the new week definitely points to a return of the big time heat... but the duration remains in question...especially for areas along and north of the I-70 corridor. The GEFS and EPS are both showing similar mid/upper level ridge positions... although the GEFS mean 500mb heights are lower along the I-70 cooridor. Both ensembles show a region of slightly enhanced mid-level flow from KS into the MO/IA state line region which looks to be strong enough to support nocturnal convection and potential MCS development. The main flow is definitely much further to the north... but the existence of this weaker southern band of winds will be key to providing small pockets of energy that may be enough to tip the scales towards MCS events along the "ring of fire" The degree to which these clusters can build south into the ridge is unclear. But for now... areas along and north of I-70 are far more likely to see at least some activity... while points south will bake. Even if the main MCS flow stays just to our north, I have to imagine a fair amount of cirrus blow-off which may mitigate the extremeness of the temperatures a bit. All this being said, I sure wouldn't rely on the chance for storms for water and if your yard, garden etc. is showing signs of drying out... I would get the water going and take your chances with the late week rain. Again... Happy Father's Day!  |
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Post by REB on Jun 19, 2022 17:05:54 GMT -6
Thank you, as always.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 19, 2022 17:44:14 GMT -6
Happy Father's day to you too sir!
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Post by mosue56 on Jun 19, 2022 17:47:39 GMT -6
Thanks, Chris and hope you are having a good dads day!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jun 19, 2022 20:39:17 GMT -6
Happy Fathers Day to all!!
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Post by amstilost on Jun 19, 2022 21:25:12 GMT -6
Happy Father's Day to all Fathers.
Absolutely spectacular weekend at Clearwater Lake. Very warm setting up Friday evening but a quick run around on jetski's solved that issue. Saturday was one of the best days ever there. Low wind, low to medium humidity and comfy temps. Sunday morning had a low of 62 on car thermo but sure felt cooler during morning walk and bike run. Sunday was a bit breezy but amazing temps considering what we had during last week.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 20, 2022 7:47:19 GMT -6
57 to 74 in about 2.5 hours. Impressive. Going to be a hot one. Luckily, dew points will be relatively low and evening will be very comfortable. Tomorrow looks like worst day of work week.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 20, 2022 8:55:19 GMT -6
This upcoming heat episode is looking more muted from a heat and humidity standpoint compared to last week. Let’s hope for some of those ridge riders late week.  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 20, 2022 9:23:27 GMT -6
Definitely less of a pronounced thermal ridge this time around. But part of that is due to surface/low-level ridging across the Gulf States and the Arklatex, which may block a lot of the deeper moisture advection or at least divert it towards the Plains. Definitely not a pattern I would hang my hat on for widespread rainfall...a lot of models show precip falling apart as it approaches with each of these disturbances/cold fronts. But maybe we'll get lucky. Wednesday seems to have some potential...and possibly Thursday if that complex survives longer across MO than what models show.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jun 20, 2022 11:32:40 GMT -6
Have you guys looked at the weather up in Maine?
I doubt it lol but I have I'm leaving today to go that way in search of Lobsters
Hello temperature is in the 40s almost every night and high is in the 60s
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 20, 2022 13:16:03 GMT -6
Smoking some beef ribs today! I hope you all are having a great day!  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jun 20, 2022 14:41:12 GMT -6
Have you guys looked at the weather up in Maine? I doubt it lol but I have I'm leaving today to go that way in search of Lobsters Hello temperature is in the 40s almost every night and high is in the 60s I’m moving to Maine lol |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jun 20, 2022 14:50:56 GMT -6
Weaxwatcher I'll be there soon.  That looks amazing. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 20, 2022 15:13:06 GMT -6
Looks like the EC has trended towards the GFS by months end with the ridge backing up towards the divide. That should provide some sustained relief from this hot weather next week.
Storm chances are still looking pretty meager this week but worth keeping an eye on.
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Post by dschreib on Jun 21, 2022 6:49:53 GMT -6
Smoking some beef ribs today! I hope you all are having a great day! I got up at 3:30 Saturday morning to light the fire and put two pork butts on the old Weber kettle. ~9 hours later, they were fantastic. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 21, 2022 9:32:18 GMT -6
Smoking some beef ribs today! I hope you all are having a great day! I got up at 3:30 Saturday morning to light the fire and put two pork butts on the old Weber kettle. ~9 hours later, they were fantastic. Did you go a little higher temp to get it done in 9 hrs? I normally hold 225-240 for about 12 hours for mine. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 21, 2022 9:39:27 GMT -6
Just wondering are there early temperature forecasts for the July 4th weekend yet?
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 21, 2022 9:59:49 GMT -6
120-125
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 21, 2022 10:57:46 GMT -6
If current model trends hold, it may be pretty comfortable for the 4th. Next week looks mostly seasonable to even a tick below average at times with cool overnight temps and mostly low humidity.
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Post by dschreib on Jun 21, 2022 12:10:38 GMT -6
I got up at 3:30 Saturday morning to light the fire and put two pork butts on the old Weber kettle. ~9 hours later, they were fantastic. Did you go a little higher temp to get it done in 9 hrs? I normally hold 225-240 for about 12 hours for mine. They were smallish--4+ pounders. I held it around 225 most of the time. Pulled them off at 201* and 203* internal temps.
I have smoked @ 275* in the past, though, when I wanted to get done a little earlier. Still turned out great.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 21, 2022 15:28:50 GMT -6
🥵
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Post by unclesam6 on Jun 21, 2022 18:53:11 GMT -6
the high here was 71 today-- a touch humid with a Td of 29.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 21, 2022 19:10:35 GMT -6
lol, punk
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Post by pbc12871 on Jun 21, 2022 20:41:02 GMT -6
I went to an outdoor wedding in Seattle last weekend. I froze my *** off the entire time lol
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 21, 2022 23:38:25 GMT -6
Fingers crossed the rain and storms across the northwest 1/3 of MO don't fizzle out before making it here
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 21, 2022 23:41:16 GMT -6
Fingers crossed the rain and storms across the northwest 1/3 of MO don't fizzle out before making it here I would not put any money on that happening. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 22, 2022 1:18:46 GMT -6
Fingers crossed the rain and storms across the northwest 1/3 of MO don't fizzle out before making it here I would not put any money on that happening. Are we starting to get into a drought feeding a drought scenario yet? |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 22, 2022 5:12:00 GMT -6
Fingers crossed the rain and storms across the northwest 1/3 of MO don't fizzle out before making it here I would not put any money on that happening. Yep. They certainly went pppbbbhhhtttt. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 22, 2022 8:09:21 GMT -6
Definitely starting to see a pattern here...
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 22, 2022 8:55:33 GMT -6
I would not put any money on that happening. Are we starting to get into a drought feeding a drought scenario yet? Nah... you need a drought for that. We are not in a drought yet. Dry, yes.. but drought... no. |
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That looks amazing.
