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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 1, 2022 11:59:17 GMT -6
meh, lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2022 14:44:13 GMT -6
Starting to get some congested CU out there. Hope we can get a good storm this evening...it's getting very dry again.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 1, 2022 14:48:18 GMT -6
Boundary moving thru Troy/Winfield may kick off a few storms soon.
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 1, 2022 16:00:12 GMT -6
Anyone have any predictions on the length of the heat wave next week? Is there any long term info for it lasting past next week? I sure hope not! Happy 4th weekend, everyone!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2022 16:13:58 GMT -6
Anyone have any predictions on the length of the heat wave next week? Is there any long term info for it lasting past next week? I sure hope not! Happy 4th weekend, everyone! Most models bring the front through Thursday, so it's another 2-3 day stretch of heat followed by cooler temps and possibly stormy as the boundary stalls near us. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2022 18:31:21 GMT -6
Meh is right...fizzle fest!
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 1, 2022 18:38:20 GMT -6
Nice thunderstorm in st.peters. good heavy rainfall. I will take it
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 1, 2022 19:35:55 GMT -6
Whenever possible, I really like to be as specific as possible with timing and location of storms. But this weekend, despite my best efforts, I just don't feel I can accurately narrow anything down without risking blowing up a lot of weekend plans. So I'm going the very generic route... "chance for storms at anytime...with a lot more dry time than wet" I do think the best bet is for folks to be aware the whole holiday weekend there is a chance for a storm/downpour with gusty winds, heavy rain and lightning... then just leave it at that.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 1, 2022 19:38:54 GMT -6
I do think the shortwave tomorrow looks decent... and is likely to be our best shot at rain...but Im not at all comfortable with the timing.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2022 19:55:32 GMT -6
I feel like I just won the lottery...
Pouring!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2022 19:57:41 GMT -6
I do think the shortwave tomorrow looks decent... and is likely to be our best shot at rain...but Im not at all comfortable with the timing. I do think if a complex develops tomorrow along the LLJ it has a decent shot at making it into the area. Models aren't too jazzed about it surviving the trek across MO though... |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 1, 2022 20:22:59 GMT -6
If it's anything like today I don't see how anyone can accurately predict a rain location anything more than a few minutes on advance. A few hours in advance is a pure guess.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 2, 2022 1:47:10 GMT -6
Sure would be nice to get all that rain in Eastern Kansas in here. But if history is any predictor they'll dry up somewhere between Kansas City and Columbia.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 2, 2022 7:31:14 GMT -6
nice storm coming to me
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 2, 2022 7:45:41 GMT -6
thunder, lightning, pouring. yay
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 2, 2022 8:05:48 GMT -6
About a quarter inch in the rain gauge this morning here. Had some really good boomers earlier this morning.
That boundary looks like it's lighting up ahead of the MCS out to our west. Could be a very wet day if storms continue to fire and that MCS can make it here, or we get redevelopment.
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Post by REB on Jul 2, 2022 8:11:16 GMT -6
I want some rain
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 2, 2022 8:30:25 GMT -6
Been just to our south all morning... grrrr |
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 2, 2022 8:47:03 GMT -6
Not south to St Francois County yet! Had a night shower but that’s it!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 2, 2022 8:52:20 GMT -6
Not ideal for the holiday festivities but I'd love to see that stratoform rain shield move in later today. HRRR looks very active into the evening but models are torn on how things develop. That MCV looks pretty well developed out west...would think that will sustain lift across the region into tonight favoring storm development.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 2, 2022 9:07:36 GMT -6
Had 1.5 inches with that storm here in U-town
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 2, 2022 9:21:15 GMT -6
It’s been raining here most of the morning
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 2, 2022 9:30:31 GMT -6
We're also in a favorable sector of the jetstreak to the NE which should favor storm development today. Seems like a good setup for multiple waves of storms to develop along the boundary.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 2, 2022 9:41:05 GMT -6
I just heard of a report of 2.8 inches of rain here in Marissa….. I’m not at my house in town to check my rain gauge
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Post by amstilost on Jul 2, 2022 9:41:36 GMT -6
We are into our 6th shower/thundershower this morning 7 miles west of De Soto. I keep hoping the lightning gets 'over us' for the nitrogen dispersal, most thunder has been off in the distance. A few fairly close (1-2 miles) but certainly a very nice on/off rain. No gauge here but radar estimates have us at 1-1.5" and 1.5-2" of green/yellow shades. Looks like alot of rain to the west too. Great for the 'overall' area considering flying, flaming, projectiles are in the forecast also. Happy 4th of July to everyone. Stay safe and enjoy the time with family and friends.
Thanks again to all the Veteran's that have helped maintain our Independence for 246 years.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 2, 2022 10:08:44 GMT -6
Finally raining in Fairview Heights. On the way back home to O'Fallon, hoping for a good soaking rain for a bit.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 2, 2022 11:07:08 GMT -6
Approaching 1.5” for the day in Arnold
Doing a number on this mini drought
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Post by REB on Jul 2, 2022 11:11:32 GMT -6
.18”. I sure hope we get more.
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Post by amstilost on Jul 2, 2022 11:50:11 GMT -6
Heading to Park Hills. Could be a washout looking at latest radar. This was/is a great rain event here 7 miles west of De Soto. I hope it keeps the on/off nature it has shown so far. I was surprised to see a Flood Advisory for my area. It says 1-3" has fallen across the area. Stay safe.
Edit: I flipped over to rainfall estimate and it says 3-4" around me. I don't think I got that at the homestead, but close anyway.
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Post by weatherman222 on Jul 2, 2022 12:08:26 GMT -6
The warned cell over Fredericktown dropped some rain all at once. Very windy too
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