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Post by mosue56 on Oct 10, 2022 10:53:39 GMT -6
I watered young trees in our front yard just in case. The color of oranges and yellow were popping this last weekend. Hoping the red oaks come out til the end of the month and we don’t get windy days too bad to strip them! Hope Chris takes a pile and shows Rosie how to jump in them!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 10, 2022 11:41:57 GMT -6
We are getting closer to our favorite time of year. As evidence, I submit the 12z gem.
It has an incredible band of lake effect snow burying parts of Indiana next week.
In the process, we all get very cold for a couple of days relative to seasonal temperatures.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 10, 2022 12:04:06 GMT -6
I noticed that WSC...models trying to fire up the LES machine
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2022 12:31:10 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 10, 2022 14:15:59 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 10, 2022 14:19:17 GMT -6
No moisture to work with the cold, lol
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 10, 2022 16:54:39 GMT -6
yep, we'll be on the western edge of the cold in that scenario. Nothing but clippers, and those will largely stay to the north and east. I do not have high hopes for this winter. Cold probably but a lot of fluctuations and not much moisture.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 10, 2022 20:03:09 GMT -6
except for the RAP , other models have shifted the rain in the overnight and morning back to the northwest mostly
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 10, 2022 20:23:36 GMT -6
I noticed that snowman99 however in my opinion the rap looks more on track based on the returns in sw mo tracking more ene instead of ne
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Oct 11, 2022 6:42:49 GMT -6
There is a strange liquid falling from the sky.
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 11, 2022 8:19:49 GMT -6
Only up north, not in Festus! Had a nice brief shower but that’s it! Drive careful!
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 11, 2022 8:38:01 GMT -6
Just about all of it was to the NW. Some scattered stuff down here, not much
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 11, 2022 8:54:59 GMT -6
Not as much as hoped but still recieved .42 inches.
So I will take it
Good call snowman99 pointing the NW shift last night.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 11, 2022 9:03:59 GMT -6
Nice little overperformer this morning on my drive to work. Had to text home and tell them to close windows.
Ive seen various winter outlooks...a tad early if you ask me. I discount things like almanacs and woolly worms, of course. But the ones that attempt science seem to vary between flooding rains and cold, but i havent seen anything mention a lot of snow here in the lower midwest. So how about alternating between periods of heavy potentially flooding rains, with periods of intense cold and dry. As for rainfall potential, seems heaviest precip events really like to hug the periphery of drought regions, and this kind of winter i describe seems to readily fit the la nina mode. A third year la nina has been cold for us in the past, but the rarity makes it hard to conclude. Thinking though that the cold will be intense when it happens.
I do think we really turn the corner on drought/exceptionally dry in november, with periods of prolonged and significant rains, so im not too concerned about dry here, as much as i am for the central and southern plains. That region has fallen out of favor with the rain gods and theres no real pattern change in sight for them. We may dry somewhat in december with a relaxed and relatively restful weather pattern before things turn wet again by january.
Some cold and moisture briefly matchup in february, but a quick return to spring seems more probable as well imo.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 11, 2022 9:40:30 GMT -6
Nah. This winter is dry and a little chilly. For it is written.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 11, 2022 10:37:58 GMT -6
Looks like about 0.3" in the gauge so far...nice soaker but not nearly enough
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Post by amstilost on Oct 11, 2022 11:50:14 GMT -6
Bright sunshine 7 miles west of De Soto. I don't how much rain overnight. There has been very little so far today. I am hopeful the winter will not be this dry down this way.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 11, 2022 12:18:16 GMT -6
Hints of snow showing up in the extended ranges of the GFS towards the last full week of the month...
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 11, 2022 13:22:58 GMT -6
.10 at the Higgins weather deck in chesterfield.
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Post by REB on Oct 11, 2022 15:10:28 GMT -6
.38” in my backyard.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 12, 2022 5:26:17 GMT -6
Close lightning strike near Columbia, Mo radar.  |
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Post by amstilost on Oct 12, 2022 7:20:13 GMT -6
The ground is dry here so it looks like this morning's rain missed me 7 miles west of De Soto. Looking back on radar it looks like some storms tried to develop over me. If it rained it was only a few drops.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 12, 2022 8:28:51 GMT -6
LWG, how'd you get the MZZU radar to show up on RS? Pro subscription?
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 12, 2022 8:54:49 GMT -6
looks like our rain chances are going down the crapper
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Post by amstilost on Oct 12, 2022 9:04:00 GMT -6
Yep watching radar and just can't believe it and then it's rebuilding and blowing up to the east of me. Winter is looking quite promising. 🤪🤪🤪🤪
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 12, 2022 9:30:38 GMT -6
So, I finally get to incorporate weather into my day job and I’m hoping somebody on here might have some resources related to natural disasters (especially hurricanes).
Basically, I’m trying to assess the relative impact of natural disasters on healthcare utilization during the event and in the immediate months to follow.
However, I’m struggling to find a way to categorize level of impact by geography (I.e zip code or county). Does anyone know of a data source that identifies or quantifies natural disaster impact (damage, deaths, injuries, etc) at a zip code or county level?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 12, 2022 9:45:45 GMT -6
LWG, how'd you get the MZZU radar to show up on RS? Pro subscription? If it’s not working on scope try RadarOmega. It’s always up and running on there |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 12, 2022 9:49:30 GMT -6
So, I finally get to incorporate weather into my day job and I’m hoping somebody on here might have some resources related to natural disasters (especially hurricanes). Basically, I’m trying to assess the relative impact of natural disasters on healthcare utilization during the event and in the immediate months to follow. However, I’m struggling to find a way to categorize level of impact by geography (I.e zip code or county). Does anyone know of a data source that identifies or quantifies natural disaster impact (damage, deaths, injuries, etc) at a zip code or county level? I'm just skimming through things, but here's something, maybe. //www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/100079/insult_to_injury_natural_disasters_2.pdf |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 12, 2022 9:56:42 GMT -6
Also, make sure these are turned on in the settings BRTN  |
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Post by amstilost on Oct 12, 2022 10:02:31 GMT -6
Looks to be past me now. Didn't even get the concrete completely wet.
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