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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 18, 2022 11:21:46 GMT -6
I passed on seeing Twister on the big screen. My wife took the kids though, and they really enjoyed it, and came home excited and told me they were going to be storm chasers. Well, they sort of did. One works for ameren in management and the other is a photographer. I did eventually see it on tv. I was not impressed. Was this spielberg? Just really bad, and especially for him. I liked bill paxton, rip, and helen hunt, but talk about wasted potential. I dont think there is any movie about tornadoes that i can really sit through. Its either really bad acting or bad storyline.
As for weather, looks like temps didnt fall as much lastnight, but today its colder for sure, even with full sunshine.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 18, 2022 12:34:57 GMT -6
Spielbergs company produced Twister , he did not direct it. As far as entertainment goes it was a good movie. Of course most of the science as junk, good chasers in white vehicles, bad ones in black. But hey, the tornadoes looked real and it was cool.
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Post by cardsnweather on Oct 18, 2022 13:28:01 GMT -6
We may have some 40-50 mph gusts Sunday.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 18, 2022 14:48:55 GMT -6
They should just make it an hour and a half of footage from Reed screaming at clouds and call it "Twisted"... Lol |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 18, 2022 15:10:43 GMT -6
I think things may be setting up well with the cold October, warm November, cold December. Would love to see some December snow again. Those are my favorite. The timing of the current disrupted polar vortex certainly argues we will be warm heading into November. Then, we hope it continually gets battered so December can be fun. |
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Post by REB on Oct 18, 2022 16:11:21 GMT -6
Chris, it’s so nice to see you on air during daylight hours. I really enjoyed you doing the weather from home yesterday and Rosie’s cameo,
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 18, 2022 19:42:28 GMT -6
It looks like some of the area may get some rain early next week. It looks like the amount will depend on what happens with invest 90E and how the potential cyclone Roslyn evolves. The GFS shows Roslyn priming the pump as a large amount of water vapor gets swept in front of the trough and into the higher latitudes. The ECMWF keeps Roslyn's moisture shunted to the south. The difference appears to be with how the GFS and ECMWF handle the interaction between the trough and the cutoff low west of Baja California. The GFS shows them phasing whereas the ECMWF misses the phase. It's a complex setup because 3 pieces of energy (the trough, the cutoff low, possible future Roslyn) are all interacting with each other. It is pretty cool watching the Gfs basically immediately dissipate Rosalyn and then a few frames later watch explosive development in the southern US. It’s probably wrong, but a cool look. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 19, 2022 5:37:01 GMT -6
25 and hard freeze in St.Peters. even Lambert hit 32 quicker this morning
Lambert may hit 30.
On to the Rain, bring it we need it.
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 19, 2022 7:39:08 GMT -6
Anyone have a link to KSTL'S 5 min METAR page? I had trouble searching for one.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 19, 2022 7:39:43 GMT -6
26* with patchy frost in Brighton this AM
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Post by cardsnweather on Oct 19, 2022 7:40:52 GMT -6
Those have to be some of the tightest isobars I've ever seen on Sunday.
I wouldn't be surprised if some hit upper 80's that day with strongest gusts coming from SW.
Nothing like a mid to late October blizzard warning for ND.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 19, 2022 8:04:04 GMT -6
Yeah, a 20mb+ pressure gradient across MO Sunday...40mph+ gusts look possible with a 55kt LLJ overhead
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 19, 2022 8:57:52 GMT -6
It looks like some of the area may get some rain early next week. It looks like the amount will depend on what happens with invest 90E and how the potential cyclone Roslyn evolves. The GFS shows Roslyn priming the pump as a large amount of water vapor gets swept in front of the trough and into the higher latitudes. The ECMWF keeps Roslyn's moisture shunted to the south. The difference appears to be with how the GFS and ECMWF handle the interaction between the trough and the cutoff low west of Baja California. The GFS shows them phasing whereas the ECMWF misses the phase. It's a complex setup because 3 pieces of energy (the trough, the cutoff low, possible future Roslyn) are all interacting with each other. It is pretty cool watching the Gfs basically immediately dissipate Rosalyn and then a few frames later watch explosive development in the southern US. It’s probably wrong, but a cool look. The GFS caved to the Euro. It shows Roslyn's moisture getting shunted to the south and we're left with generally less than 1/2" of precipitation in MO. Euro looks to be on the light side for MO as well. It's better than nothing I guess. |
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 19, 2022 9:02:45 GMT -6
We might need to keep on Monday for wind advisory potential as well. The ECMWF is showing 50+ mph gusts in area. I'm not sure how accurate the GFS and ECMWF gust products are though.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 19, 2022 10:27:16 GMT -6
It is pretty cool watching the Gfs basically immediately dissipate Rosalyn and then a few frames later watch explosive development in the southern US. It’s probably wrong, but a cool look. The GFS caved to the Euro. It shows Roslyn's moisture getting shunted to the south and we're left with generally less than 1/2" of precipitation in MO. Euro looks to be on the light side for MO as well. It's better than nothing I guess. 12z gfs flopped back to showing a lot more rain again. Love the consistency |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 19, 2022 10:48:39 GMT -6
Models are all over the place...not surprising though with a wholesale pattern change taking place.
I wouldn't hold my breath for any signficant rainfall from the setup next week. There could be some storms around on Monday though.
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 19, 2022 12:32:49 GMT -6
Models are all over the place...not surprising though with a wholesale pattern change taking place. I wouldn't hold my breath for any signficant rainfall from the setup next week. There could be some storms around on Monday though. I agree. GFS has Roslyn making landfall at hour 90. But HWRF, HMON, and HAFS all show it offshore and keeping its warm core structure for much longer. HMON is the quickest with landfall and disintegration at hour 108, but HWRF and HAFS still have it offshore and quite intense at hour 126. I think there is a good chance Roslyn mostly misses the phase with the trough. If that is the case then we'll not only see less rain, but the possibility of windy conditions extending into Monday as well. Let's see what the 12Z Euro has to say. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Oct 19, 2022 13:58:10 GMT -6
We are closing on our new home tomorrow, with getting our household goods hopefully Friday or Monday. It'll be raining. Nothing like the snow we got when we moved to Colorado Springs. Omaha was just cold.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 19, 2022 14:42:15 GMT -6
Wow its dry today. Lambert has a dew point of 10 with humidity of 18 percent.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 19, 2022 16:36:37 GMT -6
Models seem to be trending slower with the ejection of the storm early next week...that makes sense with the tropical activity off the Atlantic seaboard.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 19, 2022 18:01:54 GMT -6
In case you are wondering... the term "Indian Summer" is no more. It has been switched to "second summer"
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Post by cozpregon on Oct 19, 2022 19:11:36 GMT -6
No comment
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 19, 2022 19:47:49 GMT -6
The 18Z GFS is comical. It has a triple phasing system in the middle of the country and yet somehow St. Louis winds up with next to nothing in terms of precipitation. If the GFS trolls us like this in January and February there is going to be mayhem in the corner.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Oct 19, 2022 19:54:51 GMT -6
In case you are wondering... the term "Indian Summer" is no more. It has been switched to "second summer" Who got paid to write that memo? |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Oct 19, 2022 19:55:31 GMT -6
Models seem to be trending slower with the ejection of the storm early next week...that makes sense with the tropical activity off the Atlantic seaboard. What's it showing for tropical activity? |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 19, 2022 23:08:22 GMT -6
Chris, it’s so nice to see you on air during daylight hours. I really enjoyed you doing the weather from home yesterday and Rosie’s cameo, Thanks Reb. You never know where I may pop up these days! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 20, 2022 8:35:42 GMT -6
Models seem to be trending slower with the ejection of the storm early next week...that makes sense with the tropical activity off the Atlantic seaboard. What's it showing for tropical activity? I don't know why I said tropical...I was referring to the cut off energy offshore |
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 20, 2022 9:58:11 GMT -6
So there's no metar site for KSTL showing 5 min updates on current obs?
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 20, 2022 10:23:31 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 20, 2022 13:05:29 GMT -6
NOAA's/NWS's final Winter Outlook has been released. Shows us in near normal Temperatures for Dec-Feb. Watch out, probably going to be colder. January and February should be rock and roll time, but still see a window of action around the Holidays...
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