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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 29, 2022 11:04:15 GMT -6
Might be talking about flash flooding next weekend if the gfs is right. Also has a hurricane off the FLA coast at the end of the run |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 29, 2022 11:51:03 GMT -6
Might be talking about flash flooding next weekend if the gfs is right. Yea, it has been honing in on that idea and only upped the ante with this morning’s runs. Trying to bust the drought all at once! Not a great look for my fellow deer hunters though. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 29, 2022 14:30:28 GMT -6
Might be talking about flash flooding next weekend if the gfs is right. Been noticing a decent signal for a deep meridional flow developing later next week that could potentially pump a lot of moisture into the region. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 29, 2022 14:33:39 GMT -6
Witnessed a pretty interesting phenomenon this morning while duck hunting in the river bottom...we were expecting an E/SE wind which is great for our blind but the wind blew out of the west off the river consistently all day. It's 180* different in Brighton. Goes to show how strong the river's influence is!
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Post by REB on Oct 29, 2022 17:30:38 GMT -6
Good luck to Chris at tonight’s emmy awards!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 29, 2022 18:02:56 GMT -6
Arenado is staying a Cardinal until at least 2027
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 29, 2022 20:01:31 GMT -6
Arenado is staying a Cardinal until at least 2027 Pretty amazing he didn’t leverage the opt out for another year tacked onto the end of the deal or some other restructuring. I think it bodes well for fans hoping ownership adds another premier player. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 30, 2022 7:02:47 GMT -6
over an inch of rain here
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 30, 2022 7:11:56 GMT -6
Agree snowman a bunch more rain than expected.
I like this overachiever stuff, lets keep this up all winter.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 30, 2022 10:16:59 GMT -6
0.97” so far in Arnold
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 30, 2022 10:58:14 GMT -6
Good luck to Chris at tonight’s emmy awards! No luck last night... but a good time was had by all! |
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Post by REB on Oct 30, 2022 12:02:57 GMT -6
Good luck to Chris at tonight’s emmy awards! No luck last night... but a good time was had by all! You’re number 1 in the eyes of this group. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 30, 2022 13:02:52 GMT -6
12z euro bringing our first winter blast of cold down by the end of its run.
Actually, a pretty impressive airmass sagging across western Canada.
Now, can we get just a little energy and see our first snow showers? Probably not
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 30, 2022 20:43:46 GMT -6
We are out at the lake this weekend ( about 2 miles southeast of Marissa) and we have 1.6 inches of rain this weekend!! So thankful
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Post by jeepers on Oct 31, 2022 12:03:53 GMT -6
3.86 in total for the month.
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Post by amstilost on Oct 31, 2022 12:07:40 GMT -6
Wow just passed by the back door and it was literally a blizzard of leaves falling. Visibility at best was 200 ft. We can only hope our snowflakes this year are the size of these leaves.😁😁
Seems like a little over 3 inches of rain in the last two storms and my pond looks like it as only come up that 3". I'm sure there had to be 'some' runoff going into the pond aside from the actual 3 inches of rain that fell but it sure doesn't look like it.
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Post by REB on Oct 31, 2022 13:41:46 GMT -6
3.86 in total for the month. 3.31” for the month here . |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 31, 2022 14:07:24 GMT -6
November 10th-20th range starting to look interesting for cold in the region.
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Post by REB on Nov 1, 2022 6:14:09 GMT -6
It's Chris' birthday tomorrow! Wishing him a wonderful day, a wonderful year and many more to come! Thanks for giving us this little"home" for all of us to come to.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 1, 2022 6:49:06 GMT -6
Happy birthday a day early fearless leader. Congratulations on completing another orbit of the sun
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 1, 2022 7:13:53 GMT -6
Here comes the sun! Enjoy this first day of Nov and this warm week! Hope to winterize the cabin but may have to wait on the boat as hubby has one more week of not lifting unless we decide to wait one more week but worry about power washing a boat when the warm is gone! Mid Nov is coming!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2022 10:04:09 GMT -6
Happy Birthday, Chris!
We may need to watch the strong storm threat Saturday with that compact mid-level low moving in...that will be dependent on sufficient low-level moisture return but it looks like a pretty good squall line setup or maybe even a few discrete storms with enough instability realized. The wind field is ripping on models, so it may be a high shear/low CAPE setup favoring low-topped convection.
The large scale pattern is going to build a lot of cold air into Canada and the NW US towards next week with cross polar flow and a -WPO developing but the strong flow off the Pacific will tend to bottle that up for now. That may change towards mid-month as the pattern readjusts a bit...but overall the first half of November is looking quite mild.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Nov 1, 2022 10:25:28 GMT -6
Weird to have the colors peak so early and so many trees barren on Nov. 1. We were in Florida Wed-Sun and the difference between leaving and getting home was huge. I know, its more on par with historical averages, but its still doesn't feel right.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2022 10:32:35 GMT -6
Weird to have the colors peak so early and so many trees barren on Nov. 1. We were in Florida Wed-Sun and the difference between leaving and getting home was huge. I know, its more on par with historical averages, but its still doesn't feel right. Definitely an early peak/drop with the dryness leading up to it and the windy/wet weather lately. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 1, 2022 10:38:19 GMT -6
Happy Birthday, Chris! We may need to watch the strong storm threat Saturday with that compact mid-level low moving in...that will be dependent on sufficient low-level moisture return but it looks like a pretty good squall line setup or maybe even a few discrete storms with enough instability realized. The wind field is ripping on models, so it may be a high shear/low CAPE setup favoring low-topped convection. The large scale pattern is going to build a lot of cold air into Canada and the NW US towards next week with cross polar flow and a -WPO developing but the strong flow off the Pacific will tend to bottle that up for now. That may change towards mid-month as the pattern readjusts a bit...but overall the first half of November is looking quite mild. That is one potent shortwave Saturday. Going negative tilt as it rotates through the area.  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 1, 2022 11:48:03 GMT -6
Yea, heck of a system for sure this weekend. Good to see a proper mid latitude cyclone again!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 1, 2022 13:06:37 GMT -6
The weekend system has definitely trended to a more consolidated and somewhat faster moving system. It definitely would have some severe potential... especially if we can get some more moisture transport to the north. That being said, the impressive dynamics may be enough to generate wind potential as the strong winds aloft get mixed down. Any system that is this dynamically intense needs to be watched in the warm sector... with or without significant mositure transport.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Nov 1, 2022 16:02:52 GMT -6
Sitting put in my deer stand this evening. In the past hour, I've had 3 huge flocks of geese come over headed south!
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 1, 2022 20:41:31 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris! I hope you had a pleasant day. As well hopefully you got to enjoy a tasty meal and dessert or will get to in the near future 😊!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 1, 2022 20:52:27 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris! I hope you had a pleasant day. As well hopefully you got to enjoy a tasty meal and dessert or will get to in the near future 😊! Thanks Nick! I can't believe nobody has mentioned the 288hr 18z GFS  |
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