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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 1, 2022 22:05:49 GMT -6
Haha, snow eye candy indeed.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 1, 2022 22:36:07 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris, Again, thank you so much for starting and maintaining this blog. And yes, I did see the 18z GFS at hr 288. Brought a big smile to my face.
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Post by REB on Nov 2, 2022 5:05:06 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris!
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 2, 2022 6:18:11 GMT -6
Happy Birthday, Chris!! Hope you and Rosie have your favorite cake today with whatever libation is also your fav! Thanks for this blog! You are the best!
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 2, 2022 6:53:23 GMT -6
Happy birthday Chris!
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 2, 2022 6:56:27 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris, hope you have a great day!!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 2, 2022 8:25:56 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris!
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Post by snowday_lover on Nov 2, 2022 8:43:59 GMT -6
HaPpY BiRtHdAy, Chris!!! Thank you for continuing with this amazing weather blog!
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on Nov 2, 2022 8:51:00 GMT -6
Happy Birthday to you, Chris!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 2, 2022 9:01:48 GMT -6
thanks everyone!
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399
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Post by lunchladyd on Nov 2, 2022 9:42:49 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris! Hope you have a great day!!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 2, 2022 10:10:47 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris !! It’s seems people born in November are very intelligent ( I may have a Nov birthday also ) lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 2, 2022 15:23:06 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris !! It’s seems people born in November are very intelligent ( I may have a Nov birthday also ) lol We are a pretty smart group
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Nov 2, 2022 17:54:49 GMT -6
Happy birthday Chris
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 2, 2022 18:31:16 GMT -6
I have been busy this evening adding up total rainfall totals for the St. Peters area for the year, and as many know I have had an issue as a few of the reports I got were from my analog rain gauge, however I am coming up with 49.6 inches for the year in St. Peters, and that is not accounting for the 3.99 My gauge had in it last week, I actually used the 2.25 reading as that seemed more in line with the folks around me.
Is that possible as the airport is around 44, however I do know we received a couple inches more than lambert in the July Storm.
I am really trying to get things tuned in and accurate, and wondering if that is in the realm or not as it is crazy to me that we may break 50 inches for the year in St. Peters with this weekends storm, and how it has been so drought like across much of Missouri.
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 2, 2022 20:57:52 GMT -6
High winds looking likely Friday night
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 3, 2022 3:13:11 GMT -6
High winds looking likely Friday night Yep, the non-thunderstorm wind threat is looking legit even though the front is now forecast to come through early on Saturday vs. mid-day which lowers the overall strong storm threat.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 3, 2022 9:11:40 GMT -6
Happy belated Birthday Chris
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 3, 2022 12:03:46 GMT -6
It’s becoming breezy!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 3, 2022 12:15:02 GMT -6
High winds looking likely Friday night Yep, the non-thunderstorm wind threat is looking legit even though the front is now forecast to come through early on Saturday vs. mid-day which lowers the overall strong storm threat. NWS has put an alert for 40-50 MPH winds on Friday in to the weather radio severe weather advisory
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 3, 2022 15:53:21 GMT -6
We may end up needing a high wind warning tomorrow night.
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 3, 2022 16:24:21 GMT -6
Chris do you think there is a strong likelyhood the advisory will be extended into the metro area or is this going to be more of an illinois issue as far as wind goes.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 3, 2022 16:40:36 GMT -6
We may end up needing a high wind warning tomorrow night. That dry slot action is looking pretty intense...this system is flying with ripping winds aloft.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 3, 2022 18:31:37 GMT -6
NBM is printing out some beefy wind gust on the IL side
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 4, 2022 6:57:02 GMT -6
Looks like a forced squall line is possible tonight, while we are not in a severe risk zone, I would not be surprised to see 60 to 70 mph gusts with the squall.
Just what I am seeing, let me know what others are thinking?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 4, 2022 8:38:04 GMT -6
Looks like a forced squall line is possible tonight, while we are not in a severe risk zone, I would not be surprised to see 60 to 70 mph gusts with the squall. Just what I am seeing, let me know what others are thinking? What is it that you are seeing that makes you think 60 to 70mph? In my experience, people like to know so I always try and included it.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 4, 2022 9:14:56 GMT -6
It's a good thing there is no instability ahead of the front early tomorrow morning, because holy crap
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 4, 2022 9:24:27 GMT -6
Sorry Chris, I noticed several models have 55kt plus winds not far off the surface which would mix down very efficiently in a strong line of showers in my opinion.
such as the 925 mb winds on gfs and euro respectively show 47kt to 57kt winds between 03z and 12z moving through the area that momentum transfer would be very easy to reach the surface in stronger showers plus the forward momentum as well of the squall makes me feel 60 to 70 mph gust are attainable
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 4, 2022 9:50:14 GMT -6
anyone see that honker of storm on the euro at 198 hr? That would possibly be a big severe/tornado producer around here while IA gets 2 ft of blizzard, lol.
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Post by jmg378s on Nov 4, 2022 11:11:23 GMT -6
Dang, that is a honker.
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