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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 30, 2024 22:10:34 GMT -6
Confirmed tornado was on the ground north further SW near Seneca, MO. Now it's on going just north Neosho, MO, but it's radar indicated. These cells like to go thru cycles where they spin up a tornado, then weaken, and then strengthen again. Wouldn't surprise to see the tornado reach the ground again further NE.
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Post by REB on Oct 31, 2024 7:04:22 GMT -6
.46” as of the moment
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Post by sgdragons on Oct 31, 2024 7:08:30 GMT -6
Nice to hear the sound of rain outside again. Even better that it will be out of the area for the trick or treaters.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Oct 31, 2024 7:19:43 GMT -6
tonight looks about perfect for Halloween night. Upper 50's, clear, and now wet enough on the ground that the firepits won't burn down the neighborhood
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Post by John G -west belleville on Oct 31, 2024 7:24:38 GMT -6
.54 is my total.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 31, 2024 9:28:50 GMT -6
Nothing beats that 3am Tornado warning wake up call.
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Post by dschreib on Oct 31, 2024 10:20:17 GMT -6
0.94" in Marissa, according to Swingset Davis.
And without looking at a surface map, is that a cold front pushing through the metro on radar?
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Post by tedrick65 on Oct 31, 2024 11:30:03 GMT -6
0.94" in Marissa, according to Swingset Davis. And without looking at a surface map, is that a cold front pushing through the metro on radar? I would say so, winds are stout and have swung around to the west. 1.35" in High Ridge today. Just shy of 51" for the year and I had a couple of gauge issues where I missed an inch or two. Quite a feat to manage that much precipitation in a year while still seeming abnormally dry.
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on Oct 31, 2024 12:20:50 GMT -6
.62" OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395
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Post by twocat on Oct 31, 2024 15:04:25 GMT -6
.75 according to the Davis on the roof in North St.Pete. I hope we get more next week.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 31, 2024 16:38:55 GMT -6
Models are showing a prolific rainfall event setting up Monday into Tuesday with a deep SW fetch over a slow moving boundary...looks like several waves of showers and storms are likely. Saturday evening into Sunday looks damp as well, but much more scattered in coverage with the warm front lifting through.
Looking into next month, there's still little to no cold air getting into the lower 48 and even Canada with a -PNA/+NAO onshore flow pattern that sends the jet way up towards Hudson Bay by D10.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 1, 2024 10:54:51 GMT -6
Warmest October on record for much of the SW and mountain west.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 1, 2024 11:34:58 GMT -6
Well, things are shaping up a little differently this year than they have in the past few in that there looks to be no sign of an early ejection of cold air. Last Halloween was really cold, and we've experienced multiple November snows the last handful of years. That alone would argue for a better chance of winter weather in December and January. We shall see.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2024 12:04:03 GMT -6
Well, things are shaping up a little differently this year than they have in the past few in that there looks to be no sign of an early ejection of cold air. Last Halloween was really cold, and we've experienced multiple November snows the last handful of years. That alone would argue for a better chance of winter weather in December and January. We shall see. I'd rather see the ice box loading up this time of year vs. draining out early...let's just hope it spills into North America at some point.
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Post by REB on Nov 1, 2024 12:16:47 GMT -6
Our fearless leader will be celebrating a birthday tomorrow. Please join in and wis Chris a happy birthday. 🎂🥂🎁
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2024 14:45:31 GMT -6
Happy birthday, Chris!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 1, 2024 14:59:32 GMT -6
Happy birthday, Chris! Best wishes for many more.
Possible tropical system developing off the Yucatan Peninsula.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2024 15:32:19 GMT -6
Happy birthday, Chris! Best wishes for many more. Possible tropical system developing off the Yucatan Peninsula. Models hinting at another TC making it into the Gulf...could FL go for the hat trick this season? Sure hope not.
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Post by blueblood on Nov 1, 2024 17:52:13 GMT -6
Happy birthday, Chris! Best wishes for many more. Possible tropical system developing off the Yucatan Peninsula. Models hinting at another TC making it into the Gulf...could FL go for the hat trick this season? Sure hope not. Heck....they've already had three! Debby, Helen and Milton! That should be enough!!!
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Post by blueblood on Nov 1, 2024 17:52:59 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris!!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 1, 2024 18:01:07 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 1, 2024 18:42:04 GMT -6
Models hinting at another TC making it into the Gulf...could FL go for the hat trick this season? Sure hope not. Heck....they've already had three! Debby, Helen and Milton! That should be enough!!! Ah, yeah I forgot about Debby! It's been an active season for them to say the least...
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Post by Jeffmw on Nov 1, 2024 21:03:28 GMT -6
Happy bday Chris
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 1, 2024 22:41:38 GMT -6
Happy birthday Chris!!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 2, 2024 0:32:16 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Chris!! 🎂
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 2, 2024 6:37:02 GMT -6
Thank you all!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 2, 2024 7:05:39 GMT -6
While all eyes are focused on the Caribbean for tropical development... TS Patty pops up out of nowhere in the northeast Atlantic... heading for Spain!
Meanwhile... rain is on the way for us. I'm thinking 1-3 inches for a multi day total... with higher amounts possible to the west.
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Post by chowderhead54 on Nov 2, 2024 8:28:37 GMT -6
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Post by chowderhead54 on Nov 2, 2024 8:29:33 GMT -6
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 2, 2024 9:21:12 GMT -6
This next few days will be an interesting study in model performance that may have some clues to how guidance will handle winter weather this year. The NAM is much further NW than any other model. The concensus of all the ensembles is emphatic the axis of heaviest rain will be from OK into central and northeast MO.
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