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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 17:26:33 GMT -6
Yeah I'm just going to say it I didn't say anything before because I was trying to be respectful. But the weak ! BACKSIDE ! forecast up to 24 hours before the event started was really really weak. Every single model on every single run for like four straight days besides the GFS showed this. So now when we get 10 to 16 in metrowide. it's kind of bogus to say oh the NWS and others had a great forecast when they didn't go to those numbers until 12 hours before the snow started and even then and that's weather service didn't even do it until it started literally started. I understand the fear of getting burned. but if you would have had a forecast saying we're going to get a foot of snow and by 5 p.m. on Friday everyone in the metro area is going to have three to five in and it's going to be pouring people would have taken a more serious. this was the biggest lock I have ever seen in St Louis weather history as far as my lifetime. End rant Amen. It infuriates me because now people are screwed and going to be stuck/may be injured/freeze etc. Its like in sports. When you play not to lose you lose every time. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 16:53:59 GMT -6
Well ive got to complain a lil bit about everyone saying this was a 3-6” or 4-8” storm until the last minute and then upping it to 12”. Employers didnt take this seriously and held workers too late and now there are tons of people who are stuck out on the roads who will end up spending the night in their cars. This is absolutely a historic storm and for the companies who didnt take this seriously, good riddance.
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 16:33:44 GMT -6
Looks like my dad is gunna be spending the night on highway 44 with only 1/4 tank of gas unless they decide to open it up for some reason. This sucks.
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 15:42:38 GMT -6
Anyone know why i44 east is closed at the beaumont exit? My dad is stuck Well that hill isn't a good spot in clear weather, so I'm guessing no one can get up it in this snow. Makes sense thanks |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 15:28:51 GMT -6
Anyone know why i44 east is closed at the beaumont exit? My dad is stuck
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 14:53:08 GMT -6
A TWC met who has come to STL for the storm, posted on Twitter that this storm has the potential to make it into “The snowiest storms of all-time” for the metro. 15.6 is the record. Got a LONG way to go. 82 they got 22”+ in south county though |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 13:54:06 GMT -6
Youll fit right in here. Welcome! |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 13:46:18 GMT -6
I have a fight out of lambert next Saturday. Should I move it to Sunday or what do you all think? you're kidding right I heard 1982 get mentioned man Im a bit worried 🙈 |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 13:40:27 GMT -6
Soooo....could those "crazy talk" totals that have been shown for days, actually verify? NWS says there’s a 10% chance of more than 15” in STL. So....there’s a chance! |
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 13:33:44 GMT -6
I have a fight out of lambert next Saturday. Should I move it to Sunday or what do you all think?
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Post by yypc on Jan 11, 2019 12:39:09 GMT -6
Hopefully everyone left work already
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:36:31 GMT -6
Lol 16-18” downtown with 20”+ west of STL this is insane. Not an off hour run either
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:27:51 GMT -6
Wasnt there a noreaster a few years ago where the NAM had ridiculous 30” totals that all of the “experts” laughed off and then it verified?
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:26:11 GMT -6
20” lolipop just west of Union. Snowman may finally not “meh” this one
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:19:48 GMT -6
TLawn could see 20”
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:18:43 GMT -6
holy frickin nam. Is this 1982 redux? According to the NAM, yes. But it will be focused a bit more west. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 20:16:16 GMT -6
Nam completely crushes central MO wow
And it just keeps getting better!!!!!!!
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:37:19 GMT -6
Here's my official and final forecast 
Rofl! Or, just call it a "broad brush" 3"-24".
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:29:12 GMT -6
I think as a forecaster you get way more grief from busting too high than from busting too low. People are irate when a snow forecast doesn't verify.
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:14:14 GMT -6
NAM is calling for 1982 level snow
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:10:19 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM? How much is it 18" downtown STL with up to 22" west of the city. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:06:16 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM?
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 12:24:29 GMT -6
Its really odd having every model over an inch qpf..some way over, and not have a single forecast even for 10 inches on the high side. This is disturbing. Hmm The weather channel (gasp!) has us at 8-12" |
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 12:15:57 GMT -6
Think most see 6-9" by noon tomorrow... then light/moderate snow doesn't accumulate too much during the daylight Saturday- then maybe another couple inches tomorrow night. General 8-12" is what I will go with... with a few 12+" reports just W/SW of the metro. Wow, did the storm speed up? I thought it wasn't supposed to start until tomorrow afternoon. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 9, 2019 22:06:35 GMT -6
With the borderline temperature I have a hard time seeing this being a high impact snow like the January 2014 storm. It may be more like the palm sunday storm. How can we see significant, long lasting accumulation on pavement with temperatures often near or above freezing?
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Post by yypc on Jan 2, 2019 13:49:03 GMT -6
Yep the cold/snow Novembers always end up being dud winters. 2013-14 may be an anomaly though. But on the flip side, this weekend looks fantastic. The nice, dry fall weather that we missed out on in November.
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Post by yypc on Dec 15, 2018 9:48:25 GMT -6
I'll say it again... If it's not gonna be snow than I'd prefer mild and dry. I hate this muddy mess this time of the year. Its been a muddy mess since October with way too much rain. And it rains every weekend. |
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Post by yypc on Dec 12, 2018 20:10:29 GMT -6
Is the rain supposed to linger till Saturday morning now?
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Post by yypc on Dec 1, 2018 16:13:30 GMT -6
What’s the deal with the relentless charter ads on this site? I couldnt get in for a few hrs
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Post by yypc on Nov 22, 2018 14:51:25 GMT -6
When is the rain moving in tomorrow? Id like to know this as well. Also, how much. I was going to go camping if it stays relatively dry. |
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