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Post by yypc on Jul 26, 2022 14:43:25 GMT -6
So if this would have been snow how much? It couldn't happen. There would never be enough moisture around in the cold air to cause 100 inches of snow to fall in 9 hours lol. Not here anyway. Ok so what if u kept everything the same but the surface layer to 1200’ or so was 22 degrees. So it all was freezing rain. Would this be possible? |
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Post by yypc on Jul 26, 2022 14:40:34 GMT -6
So if this would have been snow how much? Heaviest bands woulda been prolly in the 120-150” range |
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Post by yypc on Jul 26, 2022 8:34:11 GMT -6
The rain still goes all the way back to near the missouri-kansas border 😱
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Post by yypc on Jul 26, 2022 8:18:24 GMT -6
The strip north of Wright City, south of Troy looks like it got hit the hardest with 11-12” so far
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Post by yypc on Jul 24, 2022 17:53:10 GMT -6
Looking back at 1936, July of 2012 was hotter than July of 36 by a little bit. But what really stands out about 1936 is a string of 17 days in late August where the high was 99+ with almost all of those in the 100s. Brutal.
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Post by yypc on Jul 24, 2022 17:05:19 GMT -6
So, Aug 2012 had 3 days of 100+ July had 15 June had 3 21 I think the most impressive stat from 2012 is the 10 day consecutive stretch of 100*+ temps with 7 of those being 105* or higher. That's absolutely remarkable...like a Texas heatwave. July 2012 also had an average high temp of 98.6 average low of 77.5 with 722 (!) cooling degree days (average being 476). July 2022 is averaging 94.1 high 75.1 low which will both come way down next week, so nowhere near 2012. |
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Post by yypc on Jul 23, 2022 12:47:34 GMT -6
109 is really pushing it adj. We couldn't even manage that in 2012 with extreme drought. 2012 was wild. I remember we’d be at 100 already by 10am on some of the really hot days.. Then some clouds would come thru and prevent things from going too far above. |
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Post by yypc on Jul 23, 2022 12:45:32 GMT -6
102 with a 64 dew now. If dews were in the 50s Id think 108+ would be possible but it’s already almost 2pm.
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Post by yypc on Jul 23, 2022 9:09:02 GMT -6
Here's a pointless question. Would you rather it be 95 degrees with 75 dewpoint or 105 degrees with 60 dewpoint? Both about the same heat index of 107... I hate both but I'd rather the hotter dryer scenario I think. 105/60 feels significantly better than 95/75 imo |
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Post by yypc on Jul 23, 2022 7:40:17 GMT -6
Just 2 more days of this
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Post by yypc on Jul 16, 2022 18:16:25 GMT -6
I was working outside all afternoon and it didnt even feel that bad. Mustve been lower dewpoints than usual. I’ll take 103 anyday over those 75+ dews.
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Post by yypc on Jun 13, 2022 8:31:39 GMT -6
That 83F low is anomalous even for records. Not only would it break the previous record by 3F, but I believe it will be the highest max low for the entire month of June. You have to go to July 4th before you see another 83F+ or higher max low. Certainly ominous for summer. In 2011/12 I remember we didnt even torch until the last week of June/first week of July. |
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Post by yypc on Jun 12, 2022 22:37:09 GMT -6
102 with a 76 dew tmrw would u put us at a 119 HI.
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Post by yypc on May 10, 2022 13:43:32 GMT -6
Ah yes, 70+ dews. I didnt miss them, I can tell you that.
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Post by yypc on Feb 3, 2022 15:50:56 GMT -6
Large flake sizes and moderate to heavy snow in this band in stl city
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Post by yypc on Feb 3, 2022 15:40:11 GMT -6
Another heavier band coming through stl city now!! This storm has been so much fun - I love when it is this cold and snowing.
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Post by yypc on Feb 3, 2022 10:12:11 GMT -6
Coming down hard in stl city now! This is great. Definitely reminiscent of Jan 2014
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Post by yypc on Feb 2, 2022 13:08:29 GMT -6
Getting a nice yellow band on radar moving through stl county and city Fyi-this band is all snow in stl city, heaviest snow yet of the storm for my location. Hope it stays that way for u guys in IL. |
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Post by yypc on Feb 2, 2022 13:03:32 GMT -6
Getting a nice yellow band on radar moving through stl county and city
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Post by yypc on Feb 2, 2022 11:12:28 GMT -6
Can someone turn the arch effect off please? This band better not split around the city.
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Post by yypc on Feb 2, 2022 9:00:58 GMT -6
Anyone know why NWS dropped totals? Expecting wave 2 to be less for north of i70?
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Post by yypc on Feb 1, 2022 20:16:57 GMT -6
Cool. Maybe we can get wagons north and wave one, and wagons south on the second wave. Yeah, that’s just the arch doing its thing. Feature not a bug. |
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Post by yypc on Feb 1, 2022 19:31:53 GMT -6
With our luck the cold front is going to stall out and reverse back north
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Post by yypc on Feb 1, 2022 9:31:21 GMT -6
If the NAM verifies it will officially make up for all the crappy winter weather around here
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Post by yypc on Feb 1, 2022 8:50:31 GMT -6
I'm trying to think. Have we ever seen the GFS and NAM suggest amounts this high within 60 hours? 11 years ago to the day... Payback time. Hopefully there is no blizzard warning this time. That seems to be the kiss of death in this region. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 31, 2022 22:56:40 GMT -6
So when does the winter storm warning become real? You mean when does NWS change the watches to warnings? They said on twitter probably tonight |
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Post by yypc on Jan 31, 2022 22:13:07 GMT -6
Ya I do worry that these high numbers are going to bust with sleet! Does anyone remember Sleetmagedddin? Like werr we seeing these high numbers and then it busted with most of metro area seeing 4-6 inches of sleet. How could anyone forget that lol. I had to take a train back from Chicago to get back in town before it started because all the flights were cancelled. Really wish I just wouldve stayed to experience a real snowstorm. Also really hope this storm isnt similar in precip type. |
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Post by yypc on Jan 31, 2022 22:10:21 GMT -6
Further SE shift on the GFS is amazing. I really hope it is right.
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Post by yypc on Jan 31, 2022 21:09:08 GMT -6
I would love to see stl in at least an 8-12” band. Iirc that was the forecast for the January 2014 storm that played out nicely
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Post by yypc on Jan 31, 2022 20:37:34 GMT -6
Per NWS STL there is a good chance the watch gets upgraded to a warning overnight.
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