|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 3, 2024 20:55:57 GMT -6
Looks like they'll stay elevated for a bit too...drove up north yesterday to go mushroom hunting near WI and the Sangamon was way out of it's banks with tons of backwater in fields. Do any good with the 'shrooms up there? We struck out at a few spots early in the day but hit another spot and picked around 6 or 7 pounds of mostly fresh yellows with a handful that had fruited about a week ago and past prime. Kinda seems like that cold spell that they had around the 20th and then a dry spell before all the rain may have screwed up some hillsides that were getting ready to fruit. They had 4 straight days below freezing with a low of 24* in Dubuque which is close to where we're hunting. That's a hard freeze.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 3, 2024 20:53:57 GMT -6
I was just thinking the same the other day 920...this is turning into one of those "year of the twisters" type season where the conditions are just ripe for strong tornadogenesis with ample shear and favorable thermodynamics and synoptic support. Haven't seen a season like this in probably 10 years I'd say...2013 or 2011 maybe. Unless I'm forgetting one?
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 3, 2024 8:40:11 GMT -6
It's nice seeing the rivers full for a change. Looks like they'll stay elevated for a bit too...drove up north yesterday to go mushroom hunting near WI and the Sangamon was way out of it's banks with tons of backwater in fields.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 3, 2024 8:38:25 GMT -6
Ma Nature: "Everybody's yards look so nice and green. Mowing done every 6-7 days. I need to do something to fix that." Not complaining. Sure beats watching the garden wither away by early summer. That was a lot of work down the drain last season...
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 1, 2024 20:33:11 GMT -6
Looks like an MCV is headed our way out of the Ozarks this evening... Went by to the south of me. I got nothing. Looks like I might catch a quick little shower here. It definitely shifted more easterly as it began to blow out.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 1, 2024 17:21:09 GMT -6
Looks like an MCV is headed our way out of the Ozarks this evening...
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 30, 2024 19:17:57 GMT -6
Speaking of severe weather, early next week looks primed around here. That's a potent looking trof that gets carved out next week in the West...there's sure been a lot of strong jet energy digging into the US lately.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 30, 2024 17:40:24 GMT -6
Another wild day on the plains...wow
Today was a pretty low-key setup but it's sure producing some serious weather.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 29, 2024 17:26:00 GMT -6
The damage I've seen from the Omaha area looked like high end EF3/EF4 with trees stripped of branches and homes destroyed but not completely swept clean and trees debarked like you'd expect from an EF5.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 29, 2024 17:23:03 GMT -6
1.98" here last night...impressive rainfall with a lot of runoff due to the ground already being somewhat saturated. The drought is just about history I'd say.
Looks like we're getting into a rapid fire pattern with lots of shortwaves in the semi-zonal flow moving through. Models show rain chances about every other day for the next week or so. Overall it looks pretty mild...fairly typical weather for this time of year.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 28, 2024 16:37:12 GMT -6
I happened to check the SOI index today on a whim because of how active the S stream has been lately and it has taken a pretty good downturn over the past couple months. That led me to the CPC ENSO page and it looks to me like the La Nina that was expected to develop this spring is struggling to do so. There's only a small area of cool anomalies off the S America coast so far. Has the forecast changed?
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 28, 2024 11:04:21 GMT -6
There is more clearing developing than I expected this morning...already some rowing CU developing out near SGF.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 28, 2024 7:11:00 GMT -6
Yeah, not gonna be much destabilization with the widespread clouds and precip in the warm sector today. Might be a strong wind gust or two with the line that develops later this evening but it's not looking too impressive. Just more beneficial rain...I got 90% of the garden planted as of yesterday so this is very welcome.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 27, 2024 10:41:56 GMT -6
CAMs are pretty insistent with developing scattered showers and storms across the region this afternoon. I'm struggling to find a forcing mechanism with mid-level height rises occurring but it seems like a secondary warm front is developing just to our S/SW ahead of the ejecting upper low so that may be what models are picking up on. I'd be surprised if these pose a severe threat with a lack of deep lift but a pulse strong storm or two is possible.
Tomorrow is looking somewhat messy with models showing widespread cloudiness and precip across the region. We'll have to see how that trends, as the kinematics and dynamics are definitely supportive for severe storms.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 26, 2024 20:03:27 GMT -6
0.60" here so far today
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 26, 2024 20:02:04 GMT -6
PDS TOR for the Des Moines Metro...yikes
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 26, 2024 17:51:18 GMT -6
That's a monster...looked close to a mile wide or more.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 26, 2024 15:13:05 GMT -6
Very impressive tornadic supercell near Blair, NE...140kt+ G2G with large debris ball
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 24, 2024 19:01:54 GMT -6
Friday's severe threat is looking pretty conditional around here, with the warm front being stubborn to lift through probably favoring overcast and lack of strong destabilization. There could be some strong storms around during the morning hours with the lead wave and maybe another round during the evening but it doesn't look too impressive right now to me. Sunday looks like it has much better potential. Either way, several rounds of beneficial rainfall look likely. Hopefully we can keep chipping away at the drought into early summer and avoid a repeat of last year!
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 23, 2024 18:00:14 GMT -6
0.22" in High Ridge. Big drops. Had the same tally in Brighton...not great, but I'll take it.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 23, 2024 11:07:39 GMT -6
Amazing how much more rain central IL has had with almost every system the past several months. The cut off always seems to set up around Rt 108.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 20, 2024 9:38:49 GMT -6
Sad day for the forum...may Sue rest in peace
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 19, 2024 10:59:32 GMT -6
Blanket warnings were absolutely warranted yesterday...there were little spin ups every few miles along nearly the entire line and it's impossible to know when one might intensify between scans.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 18:23:25 GMT -6
Storm around Ironton/ F’town looks like it’s wrapping up. Big hail spike too.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 17:48:29 GMT -6
Did High Ridge get hit by a tornado? The velocity signature looked very impressive as it passed through.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 17:26:51 GMT -6
Thats the exact path my first tornado went back in 11. Finally produced around honey bend. Good luck. Luck wasn't on my side today. Headed out about 10mins too late and couldn't catch the tornado before it cycled so I dropped south to catch the next storm in line and got stuck in torrential rain between them. It didn't help that my phone was about dead and radarscope wouldn't refresh after about 530 for some reason.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 16:15:12 GMT -6
He is on a tornado in Greene County, IL. Wow En route
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 15:32:11 GMT -6
KLSX VWP is measuring 0-1km SRH at 214 m2/s2 and 0-1/2km SRH at 152 m2/s2. Those values are rather high and do support tornados so we will have to keep an eye on that as the line approaches the metro. Guarantee it's higher than that a bit further N along the warm front. Those supercells to the N/NW mean business.
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 14:41:20 GMT -6
Surprised the SPC didn't go with a TOR watch given the potential for discrete supercells along a warm front, QLCS tornadoes and wind gusts of 70mph+
Winds are strongly backed here out of the SE with a 65* dewpoint...this is tornado weather
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 18, 2024 11:14:42 GMT -6
|
|