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Post by mchafin on Nov 14, 2018 19:17:20 GMT -6
Brick wall here. Nothing falling yet.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 14, 2018 15:37:36 GMT -6
CVKING has spoken on the Forecast discussion.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 14, 2018 10:47:46 GMT -6
NWS upgrading to warning... upping totals to 5-7 How far west do the warnings go? Saint Louis and Saint Charles counties
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Post by mchafin on Nov 14, 2018 0:04:43 GMT -6
He Emceed a charity auction at my kids' school a few years back. He somehow got me to bid on (and win!!) an organ. A church organ. Why did I bid on it? He said it had a "cow bell" mode. So i won it. It was mine an my wife's wedding anniversary that day, and a friend posted on Facebook: "What says Happy Anniversary? A church organ." Yeah. Thanks, Glenn! It was for charity. I gifted it back to the school who got a double donation when they sent it to someone who could actually use it. News like this is awesome! That’s what makes him so unique and a staple st Fox. Very laid back but does a lot behind the scenes that few people other than several of us in here even know! I think that's what makes this group so special. Die-hard weather nuts that also have the human side. I love the fact that I can come here and express my opinions and questions and walk away thinking that I have what I need to make prudent decisions. I travel for a living and DEPEND on this forum to help me figure out what I need to do. I'm flying back to the Lou tomorrow evening, but the folks on my team leaving Thurs evening for a trip back to StL may need to reconsider their travel plans. I feel empowered to say, "well........you may want to leave earlier to ensure your safe return back." THIS is why I'm here. THIS is why I love the passion and drive. You all help me be a better leader. Awwwwww
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:50:50 GMT -6
All comments about team members deleted. I personally am a huge “Z” fan and have been since a kid. I really like his style and approach. Just think a few more tweaks would be very awesome as he is a very good meteorologist which is why he runs the ship now. He Emceed a charity auction at my kids' school a few years back. He somehow got me to bid on (and win!!) an organ. A church organ. Why did I bid on it? He said it had a "cow bell" mode. So i won it. It was mine an my wife's wedding anniversary that day, and a friend posted on Facebook: "What says Happy Anniversary? A church organ." Yeah. Thanks, Glenn! It was for charity. I gifted it back to the school who got a double donation when they sent it to someone who could actually use it.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:43:13 GMT -6
Yes! That was the storm I legit wasn’t able to leave my subdivision for 5 days. My emoticon is that storm. That was a FUN storm to track and watch transpire. I SO want a storm like that to fill up my deck's table.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:34:47 GMT -6
Please... do me a favor...I respectfully ask folks stop with the talk about otber members of my team. We all have different styles...and mine works with you guys but falls flat with others. The same can be said of other members of our team. Please just focus on the weather event...and not those forecasting it. Totally respect this. And for the record - Glenn's weather segments in the prime-time+ hour are totally legit. His approach is totally in line with what I'd expect from a Chief. Chris is still my hero, but Glenn is great too. I'd love for him to chime in here for time-to-time like Dave used to.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:29:28 GMT -6
Remember when Dave made his first appearance on this forum? We were all like "ummmmm..." So I did my cyber research to track his username to an IP address and where it originated. I private messaged Chris and let him know what I uncovered and he validated the IP address was registered with the parent company of FOX2 and the authenticity was validated. SO...Does Glenn make an appearance here? And if so -- when? Bets? Zero chance IMO. The key to this board is getting prematurely and ridiculously excited about a winter storm. That’s not Glenn’s way. Does he fall into the Cindy P. camp of not loving snow? Admittedly, I'm not as well-versed in Glenn speak as I don't watch TV in the morning, which is completely messing with my Chris Higgins watching addiction. And a quick follow-on - I'm totally missing seeing Cindy on TV. I didn't really appreciate her value until she was gone.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:26:05 GMT -6
He could learn a lot in here, you can check in, que Hotel California 🙂 Remember when Dave made his first appearance on this forum? We were all like "ummmmm..." So I did my cyber research to track his username to an IP address and where it originated. I private messaged Chris and let him know what I uncovered and he validated the IP address was registered with the parent company of FOX2 and the authenticity was validated. SO...Does Glenn make an appearance here? And if so -- when? Bets? Don Henley would be proud.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:24:58 GMT -6
I love the fact that we are on 30 pages of comments in this one November thread. I love the fact that we've had several things to track this early. Looks like the Old Farmer's Almanac has some explaining to do. For the record:
Old Farmer's Almanac: Nov 7-20: Rainy periods...mild
Normal High Average: 59 Reality: Temps: Avg High: 41.83 Reality: Precip: 2 T events and a 1.2" snow
It's early, but my goodness, I love this!
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 23:09:11 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store. This needs to be documented, sealed, & put in a time capsule. I think this is the first time in my history I have ever heard him mention double digits for the metro. Remember when Dave made his first appearance on this forum? We were all like "ummmmm..." So I did my cyber research to track his username to an IP address and where it originated. I private messaged Chris and let him know what I uncovered and he validated the IP address was registered with the parent company of FOX2 and the authenticity was validated. SO...Does Glenn make an appearance here? And if so -- when? Bets?
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 22:53:52 GMT -6
I have to get up in 2 hours. Just needed to look at 00z models. Now I am going back. I think my map is in good shape for now. Just stay up for the euro and then go get some 5 hour energy’s and a bunch of coffee. Snow will wind down in about 42 hours. Stay away from those 5 hour energy drinks. They are extremely harmful. Just sayin'
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 22:19:53 GMT -6
Wait, Glenn just posted a potential double digit snowfall total? This is officially real and we all should go to the store. Anyone take a screenshot of that?
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Post by mchafin on Nov 13, 2018 20:45:37 GMT -6
No neither one of those is a problem in fact literally every single parameter you can look at points towards huge flakes honestly taking the name output verbatim there would be spots reaching 15" In the words of Super Troopers: Mother of God Shenanigans
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Post by mchafin on Nov 11, 2018 17:30:22 GMT -6
What time does the next models come out? There's a grouping finishing up now for the off-hour runs (GFS, NAM and her sisters, and the GFS' Super hero brother). Then there's the midnight runs that start around 8:00pm or so? and continue on for a few hours. But don't forget the RAP and the HRRR which run hourly.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 11, 2018 13:49:38 GMT -6
That Thursday system just looks to weird for me to actually believe in happening. Tomorrow still looks like an accumulating snow for many on the board Remember that goofy storm from several years ago that went up the spine of MO and sat and spun in Iowa dumping snow up there? That was a weird storm.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 10, 2018 22:38:31 GMT -6
0z GEM looks good continues with a nice 1-3” band up along I-44 through the metro That storm it has right on it's heels for Thursday into Friday AM is something too. Well. The GFS has a storm in the same timeframe, only more east, similar (but not exactly like) the GEM at 12z. Hmmmm.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 10, 2018 15:27:32 GMT -6
This is crazy. NWS has a graphic on their book of face page talking about a couple more chances of snow. Yes, these are all super minor events, and the two previous were minor, but the quantity of events is what’s appealing to me.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 9, 2018 18:11:11 GMT -6
Measured 3/4”. Flake size has changed to a mix of large and pellets.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 9, 2018 18:04:55 GMT -6
Snowing nicely. Probably a 1/2” on ground?
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Post by mchafin on Nov 9, 2018 16:54:08 GMT -6
The should have issued the wwa for the stl metro area for 4pm to 6pm and that's still too long. I just drove thru a squall on 44. WWA is appropriate.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 9, 2018 6:54:58 GMT -6
Right along 44 into the metro with 2-4” Which metro you talking about??
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 21:43:36 GMT -6
Didn’t expect that my deck would be covered tonight. At 35.9 degrees! Snow has been pretty intense - grass is getting covered
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 21:30:22 GMT -6
Yellow returns = huge flakes.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 20:32:28 GMT -6
Mostly snow if not all snow here! Beautiful
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 20:06:57 GMT -6
Beyond drizzle / flurries. I’d say rain / snow mix. 38.1 degrees
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 19:54:27 GMT -6
Flurry / drizzle mix in eastern Sunset Hills.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 15:58:28 GMT -6
Just finished a 4 mile run And the sky overhead sure looks snowy to me. It feels like snow
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2018 15:00:40 GMT -6
I was just checking all of Modots live traffic cams along I-44 west & all the roads are dry into Ok.? Radar is picking up something along that route, but whatever it is, it isn't reaching the ground. Donut hole on KC radar just closed...plenty of dry air to be overcome for sure but that's a good thing given the marginal temps. I was trying to view the cameras around Joplin as there looks to be some decent returns there, but the cameras were not functioning.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 7, 2018 23:10:12 GMT -6
Man it’s nice having the 00z suite come out earlier. I’m getting old.
And no offense - I’d prefer the Mon/Tue system to not happen as I’ll be not in StL.
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