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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 19, 2019 10:32:30 GMT -6
Is there a way to block a user? Asking for a friend. What a crazy system. Wind is insane. Yes, click on their name to go to their profile. Look for the gear icon and click it, then select block.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 14, 2019 23:05:38 GMT -6
Chris, I read your Facebook post until the end and “There is no reason to get all wrapped around the axle 5 days out...” is the best phrase I’ve heard in awhile. Even if you are trying to reach deeper into a wheel well?
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 12, 2019 19:15:47 GMT -6
I'd like to see Montgomery City lose their 20 inches of snow by then. I don't know where that is Westernmost county in the viewing area along I-70. They have the highest report so far at 20" although further west of there closer to Columbia there's other reports of 16-19"
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 12, 2019 19:01:54 GMT -6
Just got up from a long nap and hearing rain. I’m afraid to look outside, at this rate the other half of my snow will be gone by morning. Don't fret everyones snow is history by Tuesday I'd like to see Montgomery City lose their 20 inches of snow by then.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 12, 2019 11:10:31 GMT -6
I don't know if I found a snow hole or had a lot of compaction, but I only measured 7-8" in various spots (north St. Charles). I did not take interim measurements and clear so again compaction could be an issue.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 12, 2019 6:42:20 GMT -6
Per NWS tweet, KCOU is the big winner so far at 14.5" as of 6am.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 12, 2019 6:11:23 GMT -6
Lambert at 9.8" per Glenn who is pulling double duty working this morning after working last night.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 22:12:40 GMT -6
TWC (via Mike Siedel) reporting 7" at 10pm from Lambert.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 22:10:44 GMT -6
Yeah. I would think by 7AM most of us in the immediate metro will be around 10" annoying "backyard" question, but if I'm only at about 5 1/2 in noco, even around here? Uneducated opinion, but I think you are ok. Even at 0.5" per hour you would be at 10" by sunrise if we can keep that pace.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 21:46:50 GMT -6
lol..Glen is afraid to share what the final amounts can be but the possibility is crazy high.... After that he did point to whichever model that was showing 12"+ for the northern metro (Lincoln-Calhoun-Jersey counties) of additional snow. To be safe I would assume it was it initialized at 0z and thus additional from ~6pm although it may have been a short range model that initialized later than 0z.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 20:55:42 GMT -6
How is I44 west from 270 out to six flags? As of this moment both directions look to be closed at the antire hill. Below are the cameras in the area. The first one is hard to tell in a screenshot, but it appears all of the vehicles in that picture in either direction are emergency vehicles/plows. The 2nd one shows the WB backup between 141 and Antire. WB Backup is at least to Bowles and all cameras look like they are at a stand still.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 18:40:07 GMT -6
Before you write this commute down as the worst ever, let's not forget the freezing drizzle in December 2016 where it took some at least 8 hours to get home (and I believe that is the one where some school kids were stranded overnight). I remember another storm about 5 years ago where snow started around 11am or noon and many businesses closed early. The highways were horrible then by 1-2pm that day and in many of the exact same spots they are right now (40 near Timberlake and 44 at the Antire hill). I am probably more surprised that I have not heard of any issues around 70 and the hill at Lake St Louis as that is the 3rd one that frequently runs into issues.
No matter the forecast, this is what happens when precip falls at the same time everybody is on the road. It is unfortunate, but 99.9999% of the people will eventually get to their destination without any serious harm.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 15:36:34 GMT -6
Anyone know why i44 east is closed at the beaumont exit? My dad is stuck Well that hill isn't a good spot in clear weather, so I'm guessing no one can get up it in this snow.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 14:26:14 GMT -6
I just made the drive home from Creve Coeur. When I left ~35 min ago it was moderate snow there with accumulations just beginning on lesser traveled surfaces. I noticed there was much more sleet mixed in as I got north of 70 a mix of sleet and snow in north St. Charles with a few places starting to turn white.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 10, 2019 22:25:31 GMT -6
FISH - where are you on one of our biggest storms in years! Building a bigger box.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 10, 2019 21:42:05 GMT -6
This maybe a stupid question and if it is sorry. How come all the numbers I am seeing on TV are so much lower than alot of the models and stuff I am reading on here Thanks Honestly I think many of us including myself are too afraid to go to that level when in reality it is very rare for any STL storms to give us that much. So unprobable according to history and therefore high bust potential. If I recall, it was stated here that the local NWS office will essentially refuse to go much higher than where they are with a storm given the rarity (especially after Groundhog Day). The amounts in the forecast are enough to get everyone's attention, and thus there is little to gain by going higher publicly.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 10, 2019 20:29:14 GMT -6
2 miracles: First this storm and now Bouwmeester scores another Blues goal! Blues looking awesome just like our forecast! You should've seen the whiplash I gave myself turning to the TV when I heard "Bouwmeester in the clear".
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 3, 2019 11:57:03 GMT -6
I really feel like we are going to be rewarded for this mild stretch of non-winter. If you buy into the "rubber band theory", the second half of winter should be a lot better for winter lovers. If you buy into the rubber band theory, we should have snow up to our rooftops at some point in the near future.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Dec 8, 2018 22:25:05 GMT -6
I'll second the rainy deformation band. For me there is nothing more miserable than a cold rain.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Nov 25, 2018 16:55:00 GMT -6
Chris is live on Facebook saying there was strong signs of a tornado between Chesterfield and Maryland Heights but has since weakened.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Nov 13, 2018 22:21:10 GMT -6
Could the watch go to a warning, or do we need lots of wind for that? Wind will not be a factor for NWS to issue watch....Is is normally based on precip - I predict they will post Winter Storm Watch within next 6 hours Wind is only a factor when it comes to Blizzard criteria, not for a WWA or WSWarning.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Oct 28, 2018 11:50:13 GMT -6
Right about now would be the right time to be glad you aren't working on the late late late late (and counting) edition of FOX2 News at 9pm. Jasmine Huda did a Facebook post about 1:15 am lamenting the extra innings. Little did she know it was going to be over an hour more. Did they finally ever do a 10 PM news last night? Charlie Marlow tweeted that they were sent home around 1:30.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Oct 27, 2018 0:17:21 GMT -6
Right about now would be the right time to be glad you aren't working on the late late late late (and counting) edition of FOX2 News at 9pm.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Oct 19, 2018 21:12:35 GMT -6
Looks like WSC could see a bit of snow Saturday with a Manitoba Mauler swinging down across the OHV. I saw that, but surface temps look awfully warm. I'm really craving snow worse than any year I can remember. Been reading about the Groundhog Day blizzard. 70 mph winds and 20 inches of snow lol. Reminded me we had a blizzard warning for several counties. Wish I could find the thread, bet it was nuts. Ask and you shall receive
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Post by nascarfan999 on Oct 10, 2018 21:27:04 GMT -6
Didn't some of the on ground investigation by Fujita help to verify that also? And of course they did get up 164 mile-an-hour gust reading from the hurricane center before the anemometer broke. You think it's possible with radar analysis now that they might kick it up? After all Chris did notice 214 mile-per-hour pixels at 3500 feet. That would translate to Category 5 I imagine Yeah I think there was other secondary evidence for arriving at the final best track intensity for Andrew, which by the way was 145kts (165mph) at landfall, but I don't recall what it all was. As far as reclassifying Michael based on the NEXRAD radar velocity data I highly doubt. I saw some of those 200+mph blips as well but I was also noticing the spectrum width was high which to me indicated that the data was very noisy and gusty with hydrometers subjected to a lot turbulence. The other consideration is that advisory intensity is supposed to represent 1-minute average sustained wind speed whereas NEXRAD velocity is determined from a short dwell at a particular az/el cut. So my guess is those values, when reduced for altitude, are probably more reflective of gusts. Now I don't know if any of the university research groups like RaXPol or DOW were out there, but perhaps their data could be used in post-analysis. I don't believe I ever saw it posted here, but the chasers who abandoned their car during the livestream did make it through the storm ok (as well as every chaser as far as I know). I'm not sure they will upgrade the storm, but I think it is definitely possible considering the last recon pass before landfall, the NEXRAD data, the level of damage (TBD), the pressure at landfall, and to my knowledge no anemometer survived the eye. I don't think any of them individually warrant the upgrade, but taken together it may be seen as enough evidence. They may have been east of the eye, but I'm worried that there's no word yet out of the Port St. Joe area (at least that I've seen).
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Post by nascarfan999 on Oct 7, 2018 13:42:02 GMT -6
Is it just me or is the warning box on that cell way off on the orientation. Seems like it should be much more south to north and not west to east.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Sept 25, 2018 22:45:11 GMT -6
I believe Glenn is on vacation all week, and apparently so are the Cardinals.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Sept 18, 2018 20:55:01 GMT -6
A quick turn to cooler temps wouldn't surprise me. It seems we skip the transition months here lately. It would be nice to get at least a couple of those top 10 days in between though.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Sept 13, 2018 18:29:29 GMT -6
That's a fast moving (possible) tornado...
751 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2018
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAVEN AND WEST CENTRAL CARTERET COUNTIES...
At 750 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Great Neck, or 11 miles east of Havelock, moving southwest at 85 mph.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Sept 8, 2018 22:07:23 GMT -6
A bit premature to say that...the gfs which shows it stalling and spinning would produce this, but a system hanging off the east coast for days on end is extraordinarily unlikely. Much easier for a storm to park along the dead zones near the gulf. Yeah I agree with you it'd be unusual for a storm to stall out here and probably won't happen (at least not to that extent), but look at all the high pressure almost surrounding the storm...it has no where to go...at least temporarily. And that weak trough over the CONUS I pointed out earlier this morning is so pathetic it isn't playing much of a role at all. I'm no expert, but the one part of the GFS and similar runs that I do not get/believe is that it would stall right on/near the coast like that and not significantly weaken. Now, even a weaker storm could still produce historic rains if it sits there for a couple days, but I just can't buy into it sitting there as a major hurricane for days and don't know if it does weaken does that change any of the surrounding steering patterns.
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