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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 27, 2019 11:35:19 GMT -6
Boy what a difference in the last 24 hours.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 27, 2019 12:37:44 GMT -6
GEFS and Euro ensembles have trended flatter/further south with the Frakenstorm Is this good or bad? Not sure it makes much of a difference for us. The trend seems to be towards a weaker and more progressive secondary low. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 27, 2019 12:45:48 GMT -6
I would say trends are for a colder halloween. Likely near freezing for trick or treat time with flurries
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 27, 2019 13:00:02 GMT -6
Not sure it makes much of a difference for us. The trend seems to be towards a weaker and more progressive secondary low. Might help me see a few hours of snow, but you guys want something to bomb sooner to get snow showers going. For kids the weaker solution is certainly better, but I’m confident this thing will trend back to the previous solution. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 27, 2019 16:00:52 GMT -6
Forum trip to KC/Kirksville for Halloween.
18z gfs has 4-8 inches of snow coming their way.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 27, 2019 16:12:41 GMT -6
Gfs gives st.louis north snow showers for trick or treat time and very strong winds
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Oct 27, 2019 17:01:50 GMT -6
What's the wind look like this week? Put out a pop up deer blind for next weekend youth hunt. I think I staked it down good, but I may need some time downs too!
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 27, 2019 17:04:49 GMT -6
Lucy pulled the football again. Yep, I'm watching The Great Pumpkin
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 27, 2019 17:19:31 GMT -6
Lucy pulled the football again. Yep, I'm watching The Great Pumpkin Watched it the other night. Never jump in to a pile of leaves holding a wet sucker.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 27, 2019 17:33:05 GMT -6
www.twitch.tv/ohioweathernutSome awesome hi-def live snow chasing. Denver looks to get hit good tonight and again on Tuesday. Would be 3 major-impact snow events before Oct 31st, which I believe is even a rarity for them.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 27, 2019 17:33:42 GMT -6
Honestly it is just nice to have snow so close so early.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 27, 2019 17:41:34 GMT -6
18z gefs mean certainly puts the northern metro in position to see some flakes fly this week.
Pretty amazing stuff
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Post by amstilost on Oct 27, 2019 18:54:38 GMT -6
If this 'pattern' occurred when we have cold air in place over us, is this not a 'pattern' to praise going into the winter??? or would it scour out the cold air to quickly to be of any snow benefit to us??? And again, why do I keep getting the "Not Secure" in the address bar to the left of our address??? When I try and sign in it redirects me to another page saying my passwords on this page are not safe. WTH If you're seeing the Not Secure error, it likely means that your site doesn't have an SSL certificate and is not using the HTTPS protocol. The notification does not mean that your site is compromised or not functioning correctly. Thanks. I don't have that issue when using my phone. |
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Post by ElburnDave on Oct 27, 2019 19:46:32 GMT -6
www.twitch.tv/ohioweathernutSome awesome hi-def live snow chasing. Denver looks to get hit good tonight and again on Tuesday. Would be 3 major-impact snow events before Oct 31st, which I believe is even a rarity for them. Flew into Denver Friday night and hit Estes Park and R.M.N.P. (what’s still open) yesterday. Hit 72 degrees driving back to Denver and woke to the sound of windshields being scraped at 430 this morning with freezing drizzle and snow at 26 degrees. Plane had to de-ice before our flight. Crazy! |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 27, 2019 22:00:20 GMT -6
00z gfs would be good for some nice snow bursts on Halloween.
Nice
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 27, 2019 22:29:28 GMT -6
that is quite the cut off. Should be a fun one to forecast here in Central MO..
and by fun I mean an absolute PAIN in the a**
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 27, 2019 22:31:41 GMT -6
Cold front clearly visible on Radar across Missouri.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 27, 2019 22:34:09 GMT -6
3KM NAM would seem to suggest some thunder potential on Tuesday night into Wednesday AM with small hail or even sleet/grauple potential especially north and west of the metro
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 27, 2019 23:04:43 GMT -6
00z gfs would be good for some nice snow bursts on Halloween. Nice Models have been consistent bringing the upper level cold core over the region Halloween evening. That should help kick off snow showers |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 27, 2019 23:53:50 GMT -6
bonkers snowfall rates on this guy's live stream. holy cow.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 28, 2019 7:53:25 GMT -6
Steady as she goes with the forecast for mid/late week.
Some tweaks to the temperature trends early on with the front lurking right on top of metro St. Louis...but the basic story stays the same.
Wednesday into Wednesday night look wet and cold with periods of rain... Temperatures holding steady near 40. As the surface low passes to our southeast, the northwest flow will kick in drawing colder air south. Accumulating snow is expected in the deformation zone...well northwest of St. Louis over northern Missouri into southeast Iowa. With the cold core passing overhead...atop the mid-level moisture I'm sticking with my guns with wind blown rain showers Thursday... mixing at times with wet snow...especially along and north of I-70.
The trend has been for the surface system to be a little less wound up... which is not a huge surprise when you consider the location of the surface cold front...well southeast of the upper level support. I still expect a pretty healthy mid/upper level system...which will be key to getting precip wrapped around back into the region from the north.
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Post by cardsnweather on Oct 28, 2019 8:49:16 GMT -6
We got up to 96 on the first day of the month. And it will be 25 to end the month. Someone who has a lot of time on their hands see if there's ever been a larger variance from first day of month high to last day of month low.  |
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on Oct 28, 2019 9:42:43 GMT -6
So in my backyard, really the front yard, what are we looking at precip/temp/wind wise between 5pm and 10pm on Halloween? |
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Post by REB on Oct 28, 2019 9:46:51 GMT -6
Mowing is done. Awfully damp but it had to be done before the rain sets in for good.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 28, 2019 9:55:02 GMT -6
So in my backyard, really the front yard, what are we looking at precip/temp/wind wise between 5pm and 10pm on Halloween? Temp around 34, winds gusting to 35mph, bursts of snow showers. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 28, 2019 10:18:11 GMT -6
So in my backyard, really the front yard, what are we looking at precip/temp/wind wise between 5pm and 10pm on Halloween? Temp around 34, winds gusting to 35mph, bursts of snow showers. SPOOOOOKYYYYY |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 28, 2019 10:47:43 GMT -6
GGEM is flatter than a pancake.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 28, 2019 10:54:46 GMT -6
gotta love when the front parks over the middle of the metro. 49 at Lambert...56 in Cahokia.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 28, 2019 11:46:37 GMT -6
Saw the first Branson Christmas commercial on Fox 2 Today.
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304
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Post by padlur on Oct 28, 2019 11:52:46 GMT -6
So in my backyard, really the front yard, what are we looking at precip/temp/wind wise between 5pm and 10pm on Halloween? Temp around 34, winds gusting to 35mph, bursts of snow showers. I think we are going to need a bigger bonfire... |
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