|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 12, 2022 12:32:02 GMT -6
A couple more bumps to the north on the euro and we are in business For phase 2
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 12, 2022 12:43:39 GMT -6
Came here to get the 00z updates after falling asleep before they were running. Saw an Ed Bassmaster GIF and was not disappointed, lol. Definitely some interesting trends with that pivot/transition of the mid-level system. Could definitely see how that screws STL. Gotta love the 12"+ snowband in IA that falls apart down the river valley. Anywho, let's see what the 12z runs show. Haha!!! I know. Love that guy's YouTube Channel! His Chip Diamond(PSH) video's are classic!! |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 12:43:58 GMT -6
The GEM following the GFS is pretty interesting
Should be a fun couple model runs ahead
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2022 12:47:54 GMT -6
The GEM following the GFS is pretty interesting Should be a fun couple model runs ahead Either fun, or drive me to drink worthy. đ |
|
|
|
Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jan 12, 2022 12:56:42 GMT -6
Friv, we need your Friv meter! Or the Lucy football gif? |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 12, 2022 13:03:56 GMT -6
Temps overachieving today with the W/SW wind...really nice day out!
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 13:16:00 GMT -6
Looks like the EPS is divided into two camps. One with a more wound up GFS/GEM solution and another with the energy diving further south before wrapping up  |
|
|
|
Post by Jeffmw on Jan 12, 2022 13:17:03 GMT -6
SO for now say 1-3in for the Metro?
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Jan 12, 2022 13:18:40 GMT -6
NAM looks like it would pull the low further north compared to the GFS... NAM has the jet rounding the trough while the GFS has some energy still digging.   |
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Jan 12, 2022 13:19:20 GMT -6
SO for now say 1-3in for the Metro? We can say what we want... but it won't mean anything. |
|
|
|
Post by weatherj on Jan 12, 2022 13:21:35 GMT -6
Looks like the EPS is divided into two camps. One with a more wound up GFS/GEM solution and another with the energy diving further south before wrapping up I think everyone would be more than happy with the furthest NW side of the envelope of possible tracks. That one looks perfect. |
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 12, 2022 13:25:10 GMT -6
I do think 1-3â is a good start , maybe a little more and the far southern countyâs have a chance with the wrap around if it developed
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 13:27:27 GMT -6
The EPS as a whole did seem to take a step towards the GFS/GEM camp with a stronger signal for a more wrapped up vort that cuts northward sooner
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2022 13:36:16 GMT -6
What's the mean snowfall on the EPS?
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 13:46:09 GMT -6
What's the mean snowfall on the EPS?  |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Jan 12, 2022 14:33:46 GMT -6
still haven't had over 2" here. enjoy this one guys!
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 14:39:36 GMT -6
The nam is trying. Just not there yet.
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 14:42:52 GMT -6
Nam is noticeble north, couple more model runs and the metro could be in business
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 12, 2022 14:50:02 GMT -6
Yes, a little bump north on the Nam indeed.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 14:54:47 GMT -6
NAM is about to pull north pretty hard at the end of its run with the shortwave quickly going negative
Not sure it would be in enough time for the metro to get in the deformation snows
Not a bad run overall
|
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 12, 2022 15:02:31 GMT -6
Yes it needs to close off a little sooner and it would be close
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Jan 12, 2022 15:02:40 GMT -6
700 low should starting lifting... would imagine it will track north of the dry slot  |
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:04:22 GMT -6
Nws, has snow likely sat now, with 2 to 3 inches, after 1 to 3 friday night in the st.charles county forecast. Wondering if they are thinking there is a northerly trend as that seems pretty agressive this early in the game.
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 12, 2022 15:16:37 GMT -6
Personally on the fence between 1-3 or 2-4.
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:21:20 GMT -6
RDPS is so close, and looks like if it kept going it could get the metro, in addition it has 3 to 7 along and west of the mississippi
|
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Jan 12, 2022 15:25:14 GMT -6
Thatâs what Iâm thinking, the conservative me says 1-3â but I think 2-4â is a good call . Our private forecasters are both predicting 2-4â for the metro. I donât think anyone is buying into the gfs solution yet. If it keeps it up and others join the party then itâs definitely possible.
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:27:36 GMT -6
I would go 1 to 3 with locally higher amounts possible.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2022 15:32:22 GMT -6
Thatâs what Iâm thinking, the conservative me says 1-3â but I think 2-4â is a good call . Our private forecasters are both predicting 2-4â for the metro. I donât think anyone is buying into the gfs solution yet. If it keeps it up and others join the party then itâs definitely possible. Operational GFS is an outlier even in its own ensembles so definitely a low probably call right now. These rapidly strengthening shortwaves do tend to trend north though |
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 12, 2022 15:39:36 GMT -6
We need to forget about this second part of the storm and root for it to come further East and South more organized and drop a moderate+ winter storm on the metro.
There isn't going be a wrapped up monster for us.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2022 15:55:42 GMT -6
Quiet frivs.
|
|
