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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2022 12:41:05 GMT -6
Looking at mesoanalysis there may be a conditional tornado threat across IL today near the OFB that this morning's cluster left behind...surface winds are backed with ~150m2/s2 SRH and 30kts bulk shear. That may be enough for supercell development and possible weak tornadogenesis.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2022 12:42:58 GMT -6
This new GFS seems to be a bit dramatic with just about everything - heat, cold, overdoing precip, etc., especially in the mid to long range. High Resolution Hype  |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 8, 2022 14:32:42 GMT -6
The Texas power grid is probably going to get a good whipping the next few days. Both the ECMWF and GFS have 500mb heights approaching 600 DM tomorrow with the heat peaking on Monday. As of right now the power prices within the isolated Texas ERCOT grid are now averaging $1300/MwH near Houston. This compares with only $90/MwH in the expansive shared MISO grid also near Houston. They might be able to squeak by this heat wave without rolling blackouts (though I would not bet on it), but it's not looking like they are going to squeak past the frustratingly high prices.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jul 8, 2022 15:27:32 GMT -6
Current conditions at
Farmington Airport (KFAM)
Lat: 37.77°NLon: 90.43°WElev: 945ft.
Fair
96°F
36°C
Humidity 51%
Wind Speed S 12 mph
Barometer 29.93 in (1012.9 mb)
Dewpoint 75°F (24°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 108°F (42°C)
Last update 8 Jul 3:56 pm CDT
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72 
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on Jul 8, 2022 15:38:13 GMT -6
Why won't it just storm here for crying out loud!!
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Post by amstilost on Jul 8, 2022 16:03:14 GMT -6
Woke up to see a flood warning for SPI...all is right with the world, lol Did get a quick downpour early in the morning and a little soaker a couple hours ago but it didn't amount to much. Plenty of clearing across MO ahead of the cold front...would think there will be development later today with a severe threat. Great call again Brtn. I thought I was going to get split by the two East-West lines one going north and one going south. But we did end up getting a pretty good shower at most a quarter inch but it was definitely well received. I was hoping the Western cells on radar would end up going over me but it looks like they dried up. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 8, 2022 16:09:09 GMT -6
I’m glad we received rain last weekend because we have missed it every way possible the last few days
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 8, 2022 16:21:25 GMT -6
I’m glad we received rain last weekend because we have missed it every way possible the last few days Gotta be close now |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 8, 2022 16:23:45 GMT -6
I’m glad we received rain last weekend because we have missed it every way possible the last few days Gotta be close now Sadly not a drop and it looks like it literally will miss us by a mile or two … only hope is that it builds a touch further north |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 8, 2022 16:42:18 GMT -6
Sadly not a drop and it looks like it literally will miss us by a mile or two … only hope is that it builds a touch further north It’s trying lol |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 8, 2022 16:53:51 GMT -6
Been cloudy here thanks to the storms south of us... down to 91.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2022 17:06:04 GMT -6
Textbook split!
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Post by amstilost on Jul 8, 2022 17:17:19 GMT -6
I'm hoping the actual front that looks to be firing some storms just to the northwest of St Louis fire some more along down the line to give us another shout but we're kind of Cloudy here I'm still hearing thunder from the storms down south. Could you some more nicely soaking, not flooding, rains.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 8, 2022 17:25:56 GMT -6
Sadly not a drop and it looks like it literally will miss us by a mile or two … only hope is that it builds a touch further north I just watered the berries and watermelon. Had to get the fertilizer wet. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 8, 2022 17:40:17 GMT -6
We are out at the lake south of town and we received .4 ….. in town it was much less ….. I will take it
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 8, 2022 17:49:15 GMT -6
Never could get the forcing or time of day to line up these last several days for a widespread soaker. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 8, 2022 17:49:40 GMT -6
A storm went up just ENE if Belleville. Had a few sprinkles.
Looks like something might blow up along the front or OFB. Whatever is pushing through STL right now. I haven't been following it.
Infact standing on the metro link platform looking W/WNW. Thunderstorm clouds are actively building South.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 8, 2022 18:05:32 GMT -6
A storm went up just ENE if Belleville. Had a few sprinkles. Looks like something might blow up along the front or OFB. Whatever is pushing through STL right now. I haven't been following it. Infact standing on the metro link platform looking W/WNW. Thunderstorm clouds are actively building South. Thunder. We might get some |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 8, 2022 18:10:01 GMT -6
Woke up to see a flood warning for SPI...all is right with the world, lol Did get a quick downpour early in the morning and a little soaker a couple hours ago but it didn't amount to much. Plenty of clearing across MO ahead of the cold front...would think there will be development later today with a severe threat. Great call again Brtn. I thought I was going to get split by the two East-West lines one going north and one going south. But we did end up getting a pretty good shower at most a quarter inch but it was definitely well received. I was hoping the Western cells on radar would end up going over me but it looks like they dried up. You got lucky. Mostly all split around me. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 8, 2022 18:21:52 GMT -6
I'm at schnucks in ofallon Illinois on seven hills road
There is near constant LIGHTENING & THUNDER from the cell currently near the 64/255 intersection.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 8, 2022 18:37:59 GMT -6
The storm heading for Belleville has echo tops over 54K feet
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 8, 2022 18:43:44 GMT -6
Glorious rain in O'Fallon IL. About time!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 8, 2022 18:44:10 GMT -6
It's raining hard now.
It's not that hard tho.
Nothing torrential.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 8, 2022 18:46:03 GMT -6
Glorious rain in O'Fallon IL. About time! You can tell it's been really dry. I'm sitting on the schnucks patio. No one I could wait for the bus in this. And you can see the dust kick up from the lot. Now it's finally starting to get really wet and the temp has finally tumbled. Feels like AC almost. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 8, 2022 18:51:41 GMT -6
Looking due east.   |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 8, 2022 18:52:52 GMT -6
3  |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 8, 2022 18:55:49 GMT -6
So pretty...  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 8, 2022 19:02:26 GMT -6
Once again, I got missed to the north, south and east...
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 8, 2022 19:24:11 GMT -6
We had another 10-20 minute shower. Another few hundreths of an inch that came too fast to do any real good.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 8, 2022 19:41:59 GMT -6
BRTN you nailed it once again….. tornado warning for Fayette county
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