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Post by cozpregon on Jul 15, 2022 23:31:04 GMT -6
Big Cape and well over 2" PWs ahead of that shortwave tomorrow evening. Good sign for water loading and wet downburst with the stronger storms that develop.  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 16, 2022 0:59:31 GMT -6
Glen Frey and the '85 Cardinals love this weather. Wasn't it the 82 Cardinals? |
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Post by REB on Jul 16, 2022 6:44:21 GMT -6
Rain sounds very good.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 16, 2022 7:26:30 GMT -6
Glen Frey and the '85 Cardinals love this weather. Wasn't it the 82 Cardinals? 82 was Celebration! 85 was The Heat is On. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 16, 2022 8:24:50 GMT -6
NBM says 99F. NWS says 100F. Two airplanes this morning recorded 22.5C at 850mb and 23.0C at 860mb. Will we hit 100F?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 16, 2022 8:50:34 GMT -6
Latest QPF forecast for the next few days  |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 16, 2022 9:11:03 GMT -6
Move the heavy blob west just a hair and that's a keeper.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 16, 2022 9:17:36 GMT -6
union hole union hole
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 16, 2022 12:07:18 GMT -6
99 at 1pm. I'd say 100 is extremely likely lol
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 16, 2022 12:40:06 GMT -6
100F being reported on the 5 minute metars now. The RAP analysis is showing us superadiabatic at this point so I'm guessing we're close to topping out for the day. Maybe 101F for the high?
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 16, 2022 12:47:52 GMT -6
I was thinkong we would make a run at 105 with the dry ground, but what does superdiabatic actually mean that would limit too much more heating. Is it basicLly meaning we are about as hot as can get for the conditions
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jul 16, 2022 12:55:57 GMT -6
Models looking quite stormy over the next 24-36 hours. Going to enjoy the rain and cool down before we are likely to enter the furnace indefinitely.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 16, 2022 13:05:47 GMT -6
Dry, downslope of the Ozark Plateau in full effect today. Super adiabatic means the lapse rate is actually steeper than the standard lapse rate. It is the result of intense solar heating and dynamic mixing. Tds should drop as well as the amount of drying increases rapidly.
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 16, 2022 13:17:00 GMT -6
Thank you for the explanation Chris.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 16, 2022 14:05:36 GMT -6
Lambert is at 102° as of 2:51  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 16, 2022 14:06:10 GMT -6
Hottest day of the year so far. 102⁰ at Lambert at 3 PM.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 16, 2022 14:16:44 GMT -6
Hades.... on earth. Gross.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 16, 2022 15:41:00 GMT -6
3km NAM tomorrow afternoon   |
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Post by scmhack on Jul 16, 2022 15:57:00 GMT -6
103 Official High
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 16, 2022 16:03:41 GMT -6
Wow and the record we tied was during the dustbowl era. Albeit one of the lower records for that Era still impressive heat for the area.
Only thing I was a little suprosed on was we did not have a heat advisory in the metro because I hit 108 for the max heat index and I saw the airport at at least 106 i believe. But all on all it was just hot.
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Post by yypc on Jul 16, 2022 18:16:25 GMT -6
I was working outside all afternoon and it didnt even feel that bad. Mustve been lower dewpoints than usual. I’ll take 103 anyday over those 75+ dews.
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Post by tedrick65 on Jul 16, 2022 18:59:26 GMT -6
Wow and the record we tied was during the dustbowl era. Albeit one of the lower records for that Era still impressive heat for the area. Only thing I was a little suprosed on was we did not have a heat advisory in the metro because I hit 108 for the max heat index and I saw the airport at at least 106 i believe. But all on all it was just hot. Having been through 1980, 1983, 1988, 2012 this is pretty normal. It's called Summer in St Louis. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 16, 2022 19:10:10 GMT -6
Not sayimg abnormal too much but hotter than last several summers and just to say we tied a daytime high record in july for me in my book impressive.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 16, 2022 23:11:06 GMT -6
short range trends are looking promising for the I-70 corridor for solid rainfall totals. I'm a little nervous for our southern/southweatern counties missing getting short-changed.
The well organized swirl of rain and atorms in KS seems to be more robust than any model has initialized... and a few ticks south. I would expect a continued east/southeast track across MO... with soaking rain likely along and north of the center of the circulation.
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Post by weatherj on Jul 17, 2022 3:27:16 GMT -6
Getting pounded here in Salem, IL with heavy rain.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jul 17, 2022 4:06:08 GMT -6
I was hoping that big area of rain in north central MO was headed this way. But looks like it may stay north and move into the Hannibal area...
Come on rain! Lol
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 17, 2022 5:02:20 GMT -6
And again this morning the lion's share of the rain seems to be going by to the north of the metro area and is heading towards Hannibal and Quincy. How does that keep happening?
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Post by weatherj on Jul 17, 2022 5:27:50 GMT -6
And again this morning the lion's share of the rain seems to be going by to the north of the metro area and is heading towards Hannibal and Quincy. How does that keep happening? I guess more development south is possible, but I agree. I'm very lucky to have got what I did over here. Nearly 3 inches of rain fell. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 17, 2022 6:29:40 GMT -6
Really missed out on the rain in st.peters. only .14 very dissapointed
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 17, 2022 6:59:44 GMT -6
Trace here pretty much.
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