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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 3, 2022 13:45:46 GMT -6
I hope not … I have a thing that day Better change plans now, and get ahead of it...lol Dang I forgot to get salt... |
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 3, 2022 14:09:22 GMT -6
Winter Storm Watch for Dec 9 Sweet! That’s my birthday |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 3, 2022 14:11:22 GMT -6
Looks like a pretty bad deluge of heavy rain in wright city. Could be in for a very long night now especially areas along and south of 70.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Aug 3, 2022 14:12:47 GMT -6
So how long before those big storms reach the river?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Aug 3, 2022 14:20:01 GMT -6
I am very worried Metrolink will shut the trains down again
They are one of the worst companies I've ever seen.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 3, 2022 14:23:54 GMT -6
So how long before those big storms reach the river? Looks like around 5-ish for the metro east area. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 3, 2022 14:25:25 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 3, 2022 14:29:49 GMT -6
Not to jinx it, but it looks like the Atlantic Side of the tropics looks to stay relatively quite into late August early September. After then is when things could get quite hairy and scary. Just one of those feelings.
Eastern Pacific on the other hand looks to stay active. Funny how this year is showing both Nina and Nino like patterns, perhaps a sign things are in flux and soon to switch in 4 to 6 months?
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Post by scmhack on Aug 3, 2022 14:30:31 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 3, 2022 14:33:49 GMT -6
Yeah, I think the 'D' word can be put to bed for awhile going forward... |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Aug 3, 2022 14:34:59 GMT -6
Been watching the live stream of Fagradalsfjall most of the day. It started erupting again this morning. I love lava!
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Post by scmhack on Aug 3, 2022 14:36:01 GMT -6
Been watching the live stream of Fagradalsfjall most of the day. It started erupting again this morning. I love lava! I couldn't wait to leave work to have it on my extra monitor in the background |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Aug 3, 2022 14:36:41 GMT -6
Come to think of it, we could be in a neutral pattern come Winter, that's usually a positive sign if you like cold and snow here. Of course not always, but it's better then a strong Nina or even a moderate to strong El Nino. Just throwing some possible nuggets out there.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 3, 2022 14:38:49 GMT -6
The pics from social media show large branches down in st ann
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Post by tedrick65 on Aug 3, 2022 14:47:11 GMT -6
Pretty long outflow boundary curving from St. Clair up into St. Charles County.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 3, 2022 14:48:50 GMT -6
Come to think of it, we could be in a neutral pattern come Winter, that's usually a positive sign if you like cold and snow here. Of course not always, but it's better then a strong Nina or even a moderate to strong El Nino. Just throwing some possible nuggets out there. I think we would need to make a huge dent in the plains drought to help get momentum going for mid latitude cyclonic development and thats if we have cold air in place. If theres one thing i noticed in recent years, its that drought patterns in the plains dont seem to shift in the cold season. We do have some time for things to change i guess. Lets see how fall looks before thinking about winter. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Aug 3, 2022 14:49:05 GMT -6
Pretty long outflow boundary curving from St. Clair up into St. Charles County. A lot of outflows visible on radar. |
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Post by tedrick65 on Aug 3, 2022 14:54:02 GMT -6
Pretty long outflow boundary curving from St. Clair up into St. Charles County. A lot of outflows visible on radar. The whole line is pretty impressive, from about Rolla to north of Detroit. [Edit] Actually across Lake Huron to Franktown Ontario. |
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 3, 2022 14:54:07 GMT -6
Very unimpressive in st.peters. looks like it split
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 3, 2022 15:04:02 GMT -6
So, my understanding is that the heavy rains come in later this evening and last overnight. Right? Along and south of 70 in mo, so many areas that got last weeks deluge along the 70 corridor are in for potential flooding again.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 3, 2022 15:09:33 GMT -6
Only a few drops here...
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 3, 2022 15:11:36 GMT -6
I think we are mostly spared this time. Looks lime the outflow moved south extremely fast. Most areas that need the rain will get it tonight. Which is great
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Post by jeepers on Aug 3, 2022 15:12:11 GMT -6
77 degrees, thunder and raining. Happiness and joy.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 3, 2022 15:26:43 GMT -6
So, my understanding is that the heavy rains come in later this evening and last overnight. Right? Along and south of 70 in mo, so many areas that got last weeks deluge along the 70 corridor are in for potential flooding again. Models showed a complex developing along or just west of the river and working south late this evening. But they seemed to underestimate the coverage along/ahead of the boundary so I'm not convinced they have a good handle on convective trends. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 3, 2022 15:37:09 GMT -6
So, my understanding is that the heavy rains come in later this evening and last overnight. Right? Along and south of 70 in mo, so many areas that got last weeks deluge along the 70 corridor are in for potential flooding again. Models showed a complex developing along or just west of the river and working south late this evening. But they seemed to underestimate the coverage along/ahead of the boundary so I'm not convinced they have a good handle on convective trends. I definitely think all of the metro needs to be on high alert and there are several wild cards that can affect how this plays out. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 3, 2022 15:49:48 GMT -6
Very unimpressive here so far...just some thunder and moderate rain.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 3, 2022 15:52:10 GMT -6
Models showed a complex developing along or just west of the river and working south late this evening. But they seemed to underestimate the coverage along/ahead of the boundary so I'm not convinced they have a good handle on convective trends. I definitely think all of the metro needs to be on high alert and there are several wild cards that can affect how this plays out. Upstream radar isn't overly impressive...we'll have to see how things trend once the LLJ kicks in. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Aug 3, 2022 15:55:10 GMT -6
Classic arch effect happening.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Aug 3, 2022 15:55:59 GMT -6
Line certainly looking less impressive just south of the city
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Post by dmbstl on Aug 3, 2022 16:03:03 GMT -6
Classic arch effect happening. Big time fall apart as it came through St. Louis City and County. I’m glad. |
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