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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 9, 2019 14:42:25 GMT -6
Things are slower because many of you have grown up. I mean that in a respectable way. Back in 2006 how many of you regulars (lurkers too I guess) were in high school.. or at best college age? MANY of you! Now look at you at all. We have adults, with kids who have literally grown up with MTW! When I think about that... it really is pretty cool. With age and experience comes wisdom, patience and even moderation. Many of you/us just dont have the time to post like we once did...which is great... it means we are living our lives...hopefully living well! Now you have me feeling like a geezer. Was was a comparatively old fogy and had been out of high school for 30 years in 2006 when the blog started. And get off my lawn!!!  
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 9, 2019 14:44:21 GMT -6
I don't even remember how i found MTW? But just like many others, I've been here since 06/07. This has been a fantastic blog for weather enthusiasts and or professional. Bring on many more yrs.🤗
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Post by Jeffmw on Nov 9, 2019 14:53:23 GMT -6
By the way... I plan to fire up a new thread tomorrow that will capture the minor snow event...and ride us into Thanksgiving. Where has the time gone? Seems like we were just doing all the Memorial Day stuff. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 9, 2019 15:54:26 GMT -6
from the disco, lol:
As the surface low lifts into the upper Ohio valley on Sunday, it
will allow the surface boundary to sink southward as a cold
front...although calling this boundary a "cold front" is rather
like saying that the surface of the sun is "hot". Both are
accurate descriptions, but neither one conveys the intensity of
the experience. The cold front will move through the region on
Sunday, and by 00z Monday its surface position should be slightly
south of the I-70 corridor.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 9, 2019 16:02:33 GMT -6
American models are definitely trending towards the euro
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 9, 2019 16:03:58 GMT -6
yep. 18z gfs is caving.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 9, 2019 16:21:21 GMT -6
18z rgem is beefy
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 9, 2019 16:30:59 GMT -6
Headed to cape sunday for flag ceremony at Avenue of Flags. Talk of fr drizzle down there monday. Guess things might be a bit dicey when we get travel back monday.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 9, 2019 16:51:46 GMT -6
For some of you young whippersnappers this blog started on the old Fox 2 website. I remember that community. This blog has helped me through my Dad's passing, and has helped my mom and sister out. Thank you all for your knowledge and thank you Chris for continuing this group when Fox 2 had to conform to the corporate website.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 9, 2019 17:19:27 GMT -6
I am so thankful for this blog and have learned sooo much about weather and 99% of it has come from you all!! Thank you Chris and everyone for keeping this hidden gem going through y’all these years. Amazing!!!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 9, 2019 17:43:46 GMT -6
GEFS honing in on the I-70 corridor  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 9, 2019 18:58:28 GMT -6
18z euro has 2 inches right through the heart of the metro.
It’s going to get very cold if this verifies
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 9, 2019 19:26:33 GMT -6
18z rgem looks good lol.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Nov 9, 2019 19:51:01 GMT -6
I caught Dave on the DGS show last week, and he used the term "Indian Summer" to describe the warm up after this next round of cold.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 9, 2019 20:18:49 GMT -6
00z nam is solid
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 9, 2019 20:24:34 GMT -6
should be a good hit of arctic, wind-blown snow showers.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 9, 2019 20:58:24 GMT -6
I’m actually starting to think that this thing will trend juicier as we approach. That is something we have seen this year with the early winter systems.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:00:38 GMT -6
I'm gonna say it... This system has a few similarities to the Jan 2014 Blizzard though weaker as a whole I could see this possibly pull a surprise or two if everything comes together right which could give us a nice few inches. Not an exact analog but close enough to keep watching.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:04:32 GMT -6
ICON coming in a hair north with the juice but seems to lag the cold air (cold enough for snow) behind until most of the precip is done. Can't say I buy that given the impressiveness of the airmass diving in but the trends at least with the QPF seem good.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 9, 2019 21:05:02 GMT -6
I'm gonna say it... This system has a few similarities to the Jan 2014 Blizzard though weaker as a whole I could see this possibly pull a surprise or two if everything comes together right which could give us a nice few inches. Not an exact analog but close enough to keep watching. This is like saying the 30 year old that nails a few threes at the YMCA is similar to Steph Curry lol |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:07:24 GMT -6
Depending on clouds tomorrow we might have a shot at 70 degrees. Enjoy it probably the last of anything above 55-60 for about a week.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:09:30 GMT -6
I'm gonna say it... This system has a few similarities to the Jan 2014 Blizzard though weaker as a whole I could see this possibly pull a surprise or two if everything comes together right which could give us a nice few inches. Not an exact analog but close enough to keep watching. This is like saying the 30 year old that nails a few threes at the YMCA is similar to Steph Curry lol Didn't say it was a guarantee. Plus Lucy could pull the football again at the last minute Sunday night. This is far from a done deal. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 9, 2019 21:13:16 GMT -6
00z rgem stayin' juicy
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:16:14 GMT -6
A bit far off still but watch that clipper Wednesday night into early AM Thursday. Could have a trick up it's sleeve as the models have been trending stronger and farther south with it gradually through the runs.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:19:24 GMT -6
Not staying, but getting juicier. Also looks like a squall line feature with it. Might indicate some dynamics or convective feed back? Not sure but looks interesting. Cold air looks to be an hour or 2 quicker in then previous run. If the GFS and GEM can hold the course then things would be looking pretty good right now. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:24:19 GMT -6
WRF ARW and WRF NSSL Models is a thing of beauty with 3-4" even a few spots of 5" showing up from Union into Belleville.
NMM is out to lunch and gives the metro the shaft
Still trends have gone way up.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:31:18 GMT -6
0Z GFS has begun to roll
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:43:14 GMT -6
GFS is worlds better. Very close to a kaboom.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:45:39 GMT -6
GFS mostly 1.5 to 2.5" for most with spots of 3".
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2019 21:46:10 GMT -6
GFS still snowing even at 6PM with a few hours to go.
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