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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 30, 2022 19:14:34 GMT -6
 does it look just like it does every other night and has for millions of years?
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 30, 2022 19:34:38 GMT -6
No, it’s different tonight
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Post by ndolan387 on Aug 30, 2022 21:11:47 GMT -6
Moon is a must see this evening Yeah a nice clear, crisp, skinny waxing cresent with a tint of different colors! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 30, 2022 21:16:05 GMT -6
You guys see the super typhoon off the coast of Okinawa? She sure is pretty on radar.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 30, 2022 21:33:54 GMT -6
You guys see the super typhoon off the coast of Okinawa? She sure is pretty on radar. Yep! Very strong! |
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 31, 2022 7:04:29 GMT -6
Pretty depressing thinking you are heading right into fall and 80 degree highs/upper 50 lows to 90 for a week straight.
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 31, 2022 7:17:34 GMT -6
Honestly Cardsweather this seems to be the norm unfortunately we only have summer and winter its hot into fall and pretty chilly into spring many times with very minimal in between season.
Just how I feel not sure bout others.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 31, 2022 8:39:19 GMT -6
it's always 90 in early september lol. I mean it's not that much above normal. Come on people
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 31, 2022 8:53:15 GMT -6
Snowman, it’s a mind thing! When Sept arrives, we think fall. Not 90 deg. But Labor Day weekend is here so it should be summers last gasp or in a few weeks when the calendar says first day of fall. But this is MO not Mich or MN. Maybe in Oct it’ll be in the 70s
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 31, 2022 9:53:43 GMT -6
Sure. But when forecast is looking great it makes you excited.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 31, 2022 10:00:23 GMT -6
We had a nice fall last year IIRC and a prolonged, cool spring this year...just saying.
It's definitely pretty common to have 90s the first week or so in September. It's a bit harder to swallow when most of the summer was a scorcher though...I think most of us are ready for some solidly cooler temps. Hang in there!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 31, 2022 10:35:09 GMT -6
Seems like summer tries to hang on a week or two into October anymore. I’m definitely ready for those cool fall days. Tomorrow is the start of meteorological Fall
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 31, 2022 11:55:13 GMT -6
If y'all aren't enjoying the weather today...I pity the fool!
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 31, 2022 14:22:07 GMT -6
Agreed brtnwxmn today is perfect. I am off today working on my neighbors and it is sunny 85 and dp of 55 cant beat this.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 31, 2022 15:16:36 GMT -6
It's a little warm in the sun but the low humidity makes it 100% bearable...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 31, 2022 17:36:49 GMT -6
Some interesting trends in the models for this weekend into next week with the complex cut off energy that develops across the Plains and Midwest. The GFS is bullish with a stout southerly mid-level jet developing along the river valley Friday into Saturday ahead of the first piece of energy. That would support widespread showers and storms...might be overdone. But it looks like cloud/precip coverage could put a damper on the warm up a bit. And a lot of us could really use some rainfall too.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 1, 2022 12:34:14 GMT -6
Our streak of no named tropical storms/systems ended today with the naming of TS Danielle. I believe the first August of no named storms during a La Nina did in fact come to pass. Looks like things will be making up for lost time over the next several weeks however...
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 1, 2022 13:45:50 GMT -6
Some interesting trends in the models for this weekend into next week with the complex cut off energy that develops across the Plains and Midwest. The GFS is bullish with a stout southerly mid-level jet developing along the river valley Friday into Saturday ahead of the first piece of energy. That would support widespread showers and storms...might be overdone. But it looks like cloud/precip coverage could put a damper on the warm up a bit. And a lot of us could really use some rainfall too. Some models show us getting it big time with the UKMET being the top benchmark with 'Ark Building' rains, while just as many are bone dry. Some of the Short Term models like the HRRR and RAP are showing light showers getting as far east as the western burbs by tomorrow morning. Not sure if to buy that yet, but it could be interesting and sure better then excessive heat we'd probably be seeing if it wasn't for this trapped piece of energy or weakness in the broader ridge. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 2, 2022 5:33:07 GMT -6
Now it's looking quite soggy for the St. Louis metro area, into southwestern Illinois this weekend. This little disturbance, weak low looks more dynamic and wetter with time. Could see likely pops for Saturday into Monday or even categorical be in the forecast later today or tonight. Just low to mid chance right now.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2022 8:52:08 GMT -6
UKMET went nuts with this cut off with an almost tropical look and heavy rainfall around the center of the low which gets parked over us. Some of the CAMs have some pretty impressive rainfall into tomorrow and possibly into Sunday. But overall, this looks like more of a scattered shower setup to me vs. heavy rainfall producer. There may be some localized spots that see significant rainfall though. Models seem to be focusing that potential across the S/SE counties.
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Sept 2, 2022 10:57:25 GMT -6
UKMET went nuts with this cut off with an almost tropical look and heavy rainfall around the center of the low which gets parked over us. Some of the CAMs have some pretty impressive rainfall into tomorrow and possibly into Sunday. But overall, this looks like more of a scattered shower setup to me vs. heavy rainfall producer. There may be some localized spots that see significant rainfall though. Models seem to be focusing that potential across the S/SE counties. Seems like NWS is going with the scattered look as well. I sure hope so. A lot of golf to be played this weekend. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2022 11:03:47 GMT -6
UKMET went nuts with this cut off with an almost tropical look and heavy rainfall around the center of the low which gets parked over us. Some of the CAMs have some pretty impressive rainfall into tomorrow and possibly into Sunday. But overall, this looks like more of a scattered shower setup to me vs. heavy rainfall producer. There may be some localized spots that see significant rainfall though. Models seem to be focusing that potential across the S/SE counties. Seems like NWS is going with the scattered look as well. I sure hope so. A lot of golf to be played this weekend. It does look like there's potential for localized bands of heavier/focused rainfall over the next several days as the low meanders across the region. But pinning down the location of those will be tough outside of 12hrs. We could really use some rainfall up here...the last several rain events have skirted MBY in every direction. Amazing how persistent that trend has been the whole summer. |
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Sept 2, 2022 11:09:11 GMT -6
Seems like NWS is going with the scattered look as well. I sure hope so. A lot of golf to be played this weekend. It does look like there's potential for localized bands of heavier/focused rainfall over the next several days as the low meanders across the region. But pinning down the location of those will be tough outside of 12hrs. We could really use some rainfall up here...the last several rain events have skirted MBY in every direction. Amazing how persistent that trend has been the whole summer. It felt like we got about 2 inches last Sunday with that storm. Holy cow it absolutely poured for almost an hour. |
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Post by amstilost on Sept 2, 2022 11:16:49 GMT -6
Forgive me if this comes across as whining, I have lots of colors I was busy in a surgical center all day yesterday but looking at the forecast and we only had a very slight 20% chance of rain all weekend long it's now raining on me and all of Southwest Missouri is under rain that is heading this way. what in the world happened?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2022 11:20:03 GMT -6
Forgive me if this comes across as whining, I have lots of colors I was busy in a surgical center all day yesterday but looking at the forecast and we only had a very slight 20% chance of rain all weekend long it's now raining on me and all of Southwest Missouri is under rain that is heading this way. what in the world happened? The atmo sent us a curve ball  Send it up thisaway! |
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Post by amstilost on Sept 2, 2022 11:42:18 GMT -6
I sure hope the Cardinals can Master this type of curveball.😁
Man, I need to proofread my posts better.
I have no idea where colors came from in the previous post.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Sept 2, 2022 13:26:07 GMT -6
What happened to the all the rain and the hurricane remnants that were supposed to hit us the past few days?
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Post by ElburnDave on Sept 2, 2022 13:32:57 GMT -6
Wild pitch.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Sept 2, 2022 14:27:21 GMT -6
Based on what trends im seeing, for the metro a weekend total of 1 to 2 inches possible along and south of 70 seems reasonable. Im pretty generous with the amounts and coverage bc the trends indicate an uptick in qpf and coverage, and also, its labor day weekend, and that weekend seems notorious for rain at least part of the weekend, and for the most part where rain finds you, it overperforms lately. No scientific explanation.
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Post by REB on Sept 2, 2022 17:46:11 GMT -6
I need rain
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does it look just like it does every other night and has for millions of years? 
