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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 6, 2022 10:03:48 GMT -6
looks like dew point forecasts get better and better and more early-fall-like over the next week (unless I'm not seeing something I should be)
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 6, 2022 15:14:22 GMT -6
So that Summer is unofficially over think it’s time for a new thread?
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 6, 2022 20:20:52 GMT -6
The Old Farmer's Almanac forecast came out, shows much of the midwest as Cold, Snowy including all of Missouri and Illinois FWIW.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 6, 2022 21:11:51 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 7, 2022 12:41:55 GMT -6
Models getting quite impressed with developing upper level low next week. Euro is just nuts with nearly a sub 560DM low which is kinda of impressive with passage just north of the metro. Looks unsettled again second half of the weekend into the middle of next week. Looks like a heatwave is a foot the weekend after next however, but lots of time for things to change that far out. Nothing crazy, but 90s would make a return for a spell.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 8, 2022 14:47:36 GMT -6
And now it's gone with the storm. Weekend looks nice and dry now with the exception of the northern counties which may still be skirted by the low as it passes well to the north with dry conditions south of I-70. Looks hot again most of next week after Tuesday. Here it comes Summer for a couple more weeks. Maybe end of the month or October will see Hoodie weather return.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 8, 2022 15:05:44 GMT -6
I'd be amazed if this weekend ends up "nice and dry"...certainly not a washout, but that's an awfully strong front with more than enough moisture to work with. There should at least be some post-frontal showers on Sunday in the deep cyclonic flow and cooling mid-level temps. And I'd expect there to be at least isolated to scattered showers and a few storms on Saturday as that Gulf low meanders northward, setting up a convergence zone across the region as deeper moisture arrives.
Definitely a strong signal for unseasonable warmth towards mid-month as that cut off moves out and a deep trof develops along the W coast(-PNA). Might be flirting with some 90s if that holds up.
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Post by REB on Sept 8, 2022 17:00:41 GMT -6
Congratulations to Chris for "at least" 4 emmy nominations. Way to go Chris!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 8, 2022 17:16:10 GMT -6
Congratulations to Chris for "at least" 4 emmy nominations. Way to go Chris! WOW!! Way to go, Chris!! |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 8, 2022 20:12:16 GMT -6
Congrats Chris!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 8, 2022 20:13:00 GMT -6
Man I don't want anymore 90s! Ugh
Or 80s ugh!!
Can't wait until highs are about 65!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 8, 2022 21:09:10 GMT -6
Congratulations to Chris for "at least" 4 emmy nominations. Way to go Chris! How did you hear lol? The one Im most excited about is the team entry for last year's summer weather special. The winners will be announced October 29th. |
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 9, 2022 7:05:39 GMT -6
I'd be amazed if this weekend ends up "nice and dry"...certainly not a washout, but that's an awfully strong front with more than enough moisture to work with. There should at least be some post-frontal showers on Sunday in the deep cyclonic flow and cooling mid-level temps. And I'd expect there to be at least isolated to scattered showers and a few storms on Saturday as that Gulf low meanders northward, setting up a convergence zone across the region as deeper moisture arrives. Definitely a strong signal for unseasonable warmth towards mid-month as that cut off moves out and a deep trof develops along the W coast(-PNA). Might be flirting with some 90s if that holds up. I'm a broken record, but the dew point forecast maps that I'm looking are still showing 50s to very low 60's into next weekend, is it at least not looking like a swampy summer-like heat? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 9, 2022 8:02:31 GMT -6
Congrats, Chris! Well deserved...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 9, 2022 8:04:25 GMT -6
I'd be amazed if this weekend ends up "nice and dry"...certainly not a washout, but that's an awfully strong front with more than enough moisture to work with. There should at least be some post-frontal showers on Sunday in the deep cyclonic flow and cooling mid-level temps. And I'd expect there to be at least isolated to scattered showers and a few storms on Saturday as that Gulf low meanders northward, setting up a convergence zone across the region as deeper moisture arrives. Definitely a strong signal for unseasonable warmth towards mid-month as that cut off moves out and a deep trof develops along the W coast(-PNA). Might be flirting with some 90s if that holds up. I'm a broken record, but the dew point forecast maps that I'm looking are still showing 50s to very low 60's into next weekend, is it at least not looking like a swampy summer-like heat? Low-level trajectories look more westerly vs. southerly with a ridge setting up over the Gulf states...that should help to keep dewpoints a bit lower but will definitely warm things up. |
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Post by cozpregon on Sept 9, 2022 10:00:27 GMT -6
Sunday looking like a nice fall day.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 9, 2022 10:29:20 GMT -6
Sunday looking like a nice fall day. For sure...some very low thickness values moving in for this time of year. Stratus and a breeze will make it feel downright chilly. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Sept 10, 2022 17:22:46 GMT -6
I'm eyeballing that heat as well.
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Post by amstilost on Sept 10, 2022 18:59:02 GMT -6
Looks like I got a couple of storms popping just to the west of me. fingers are crossed for a nice rain and nothing severe.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 10, 2022 20:49:59 GMT -6
I've been getting a pretty good dump of rain for the last 20-30 minutes. No lightning/thunder. Radar looks like it's about done.
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Post by bear1 on Sept 10, 2022 21:06:20 GMT -6
I got 0.30" IMBY 
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Post by ajd446 on Sept 11, 2022 8:28:09 GMT -6
Beautiful Fall day today. Enjoy everyone while it lasts.
In addition crazy how the tropical Atlantic and Pacific have not an ounce of activity on the NHC page at the moment. I dont ever remember it this quiet in September.
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 11, 2022 10:44:21 GMT -6
Definitely a preview of fall today.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2022 15:14:00 GMT -6
This month is going to be know as 'Bortember' Boring and September in one word. Better then billions of dollars in damages and lives lost though. Earth's gotta take a chill pill once in a while too.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 11, 2022 16:32:00 GMT -6
Meanwhile, in Pakistan...
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2022 17:26:35 GMT -6
Meanwhile, in Pakistan... Yeah forgot about their 'Noah Ark' floods there. And the Earthquake in Asia/China(not weather, but still a natural disaster). Hard to think of Asia when you don't live there, but yes it does count. Middle East/Southern Asia/India Subcontinent has had a rough year. Just not North America's turn in regards to storms and severe weather (that's interesting or worth tracking). Lots of heat and drought though. For St. Louis other then the storm in February and the July Flash Flooding event(s) it's been lots of quiet time in between. Feast or Famine and temporally more famine then feast it seems. GFS also flipped places with the CMC/GEM for the extended, now showing a deep trough in the Day 9-11 range then northwest flow after then, but Euro and GEM now ridge-fests. Global patterns might be on the move soon. Dave has hinted at that several times lately on his Facebook Page. Maybe things will get more 'interesting' here by month's end or October. Gonna pay for this lovely weather eventually unless the flash floods in July were such payment. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 11, 2022 17:28:42 GMT -6
Speaking of Pakistan, GFS has been bad news for them, showing several more inches of rain heading for the northern half of the country the rest of the month into much of India.
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Post by cozpregon on Sept 11, 2022 19:31:28 GMT -6
Just saw a bright meteor high up in the east sky-
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 11, 2022 20:26:27 GMT -6
Meanwhile, in Pakistan... Yeah forgot about their 'Noah Ark' floods there. And the Earthquake in Asia/China(not weather, but still a natural disaster). Hard to think of Asia when you don't live there, but yes it does count. Middle East/Southern Asia/India Subcontinent has had a rough year. Just not North America's turn in regards to storms and severe weather (that's interesting or worth tracking). Lots of heat and drought though. For St. Louis other then the storm in February and the July Flash Flooding event(s) it's been lots of quiet time in between. Feast or Famine and temporally more famine then feast it seems. GFS also flipped places with the CMC/GEM for the extended, now showing a deep trough in the Day 9-11 range then northwest flow after then, but Euro and GEM now ridge-fests. Global patterns might be on the move soon. Dave has hinted at that several times lately on his Facebook Page. Maybe things will get more 'interesting' here by month's end or October. Gonna pay for this lovely weather eventually unless the flash floods in July were such payment. 7.6 earthquake in Paupua New Guinea on Saturday, too. And our Chicago folks please report in if you aren't underwater. |
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Post by ElburnDave on Sept 12, 2022 5:18:15 GMT -6
All good here, Guy. Just under an inch IMBY, thus far. Gorgeous fall preview yesterday, with wind-driven rain and temps in the 60s. More of the same today. Was a great day to watch the Cards on the couch.
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